天然气价格预测：卖方从200天生产线开始控制天然气回收。天然气从200日均线的阻力位反转，引发看跌信号，并增加了向较低移动平均线和未经测试的支撑区回落的可能性。

Natural Gas Price Forecast: Sellers Take Control as Gas Retreats From 200-Day Line.Natural gas reversed from resistance at the 200-Day average, triggering a bearish signal and raising the likelihood of a pullback toward lower moving averages and untested support zones.

周五，Ibovespa指数上涨0.2%，收于144201点，这得益于积极的公司消息和大宗商品生产商的强势，尽管私营部门活动的急剧收缩推高了人们对鸽派央行的预期。巴西航空工业公司股价上涨1.9%，此前该公司报告第三季度交付62架飞机，高于去年同期的59架，商用飞机交付量增长25%，达到八年来第三季度的最高水平。WEG股价上涨0.9%，因其加速向欧洲电动汽车充电市场扩张，并预计明年初当地电池充电器的销量。Suzano Papel e Celulose、Raia Drogasil和TOTVS也表现出色，分别上涨1.1%、3.8%和1.9%。标准普尔全球巴西综合采购经理人指数从8月份的48.8降至9月份的46.0，为近四年半来最快的恶化，突显出新订单、产出和服务活动普遍放缓，并强化了对宽松政策的押注。

The Ibovespa rose 0.2% to close at 144,201 on Friday on positive company news and strength among commodity producers even as a sharp contraction in private sector activity pushed expectations for a dovish Central Bank. Embraer gained 1.9% after reporting 62 aircraft deliveries in the third quarter, up from 59 a year earlier, with commercial plane deliveries up 25% to their strongest third-quarter level in eight years. WEG advanced 0.9% as it accelerates expansion into Europe’s EV charging market and expects local battery charger sales early next year. Suzano Papel e Celulose, Raia Drogasil and TOTVS also outperformed, adding 1.1%, 3.8% and 1.9% respectively. S&P Global’s composite PMI for Brazil fell to 46.0 in September from 48.8 in August, the fastest deterioration in nearly four and a half years, underscoring a broad slowdown in new orders, output and services activity and reinforcing bets on easier policy.

标准普尔500指数周五收盘基本持平，道琼斯指数延续了其历史新高，在盘中短暂超过47000点后上涨240点，收于46758点，而纳斯达克指数在美国政府停摆进入第三天时下跌0.3%。压力来自主要科技公司，Palantir Technologies领跌标准普尔500指数，下跌7.5%，而特斯拉和英伟达分别下跌1.4%和0.7%。应用材料公司股价下跌2.7%，此前该公司警告称，半导体出口限制将影响6亿美元的收入。投资者关注的是政府关门，这推迟了9月份的就业报告，并在美联储10月份的政策会议之前造成了经济数据封锁。私人数据显示，劳动力市场放缓，但也强化了本月晚些时候美联储再次降息的预期。尽管存在这些不利因素，但所有三大股指都有望实现稳健的周涨幅，标准普尔500指数上涨1.1%，道琼斯指数上涨1%，纳斯达克指数上涨0.5%。

The S&P 500 closed mostly flat on Friday, the Dow Jones extended its record run, rising 240 points finisheing at 46,758 after briefly surpassing 47,000 during the session, while the Nasdaq slipped 0.3% as the US government shutdown entered its third day. Pressure came from major technology names, with Palantir Technologies leading the S&P 500 lower, dropping 7.5%, while Tesla and Nvidia fell 1.4% and 0.7%, respectively. Applied Materials declined 2.7% after warning of a $600 million revenue hit tied to semiconductor export restrictions. Investors focused on the shutdown, which delayed the September jobs report and created an economic data blackout ahead of the Federal Reserve’s October policy meeting. Private data suggested a slowing labor market but also reinforced expectations for another Fed rate cut later this month. Despite these headwinds, all three major indexes are on track for solid weekly gains, with the S&P 500 up 1.1%, the Dow 1%, and the Nasdaq 0.5%.

标准普尔/多伦多证交所综合指数周五上涨1%，收于创纪录的30472点，使多伦多证交所本周上涨2.4%，科技和大宗商品生产商领涨，而美联储近期降息的希望超过了对美国政府关门的担忧。大型股Shopify上涨6.5%，此前Rothschild Redburn将其目标价从180美元上调至200美元，同时保留买入评级，并将OpenAI的即时结账作为新的货币化杠杆。Constellation Software上涨约3.3%。矿业和能源生产商表现优异，金价创下历史新高，油价在本周大幅下跌后企稳。在数据方面，加拿大制造业采购经理人指数（PMI）仍在收缩，为46.3，连续第十个月低于50不变大关，强化了对宽松政策背景的预期。

The S&P/TSX Composite rose 1% to close at a record 30,472 on Friday, putting the Toronto exchange up 2.4% for the week as tech and commodity producers led the advance while hopes for a near-term Fed rate cut outweighed concerns about a US government shutdown. Mega-cap Shopify jumped 6.5% after Rothschild Redburn raised its price target to $200 from $180 while retaining a Buy rating and citing OpenAI’s Instant Checkout as a fresh monetization lever. Constellation Software added about 3.3%. Miners and energy producers outperformed as gold hit record highs and oil steadied after this week’s sharp selloff. On the data front Canada’s manufacturing PMI remained in contraction at 46.3, the tenth straight month below the 50 no-change mark, reinforcing expectations of a looser policy backdrop.