原油–26年3月19日。随着美以和伊朗之间紧张局势的升级，原油仍处于上升趋势。市场已经开始吸收特朗普关于消除伊朗和重新开放霍尔木兹海峡的持续言论，从而保持油价进一步上涨的压力。从图表中可以看出，市场正面临支撑区[…]

Crude Oil – 19.03.2026.Crude Oil is still holding an uptrend wave with escalating tensions between US-Israel and Iran, The market has begun to absorb Trump's continued rhetoric regarding eliminating Iran and reopening the Strait of Hormuz, keeping the pressure for more advance on Oil prices. As we see from the chart, the market is facing a support zone […]

美元/日元–26年3月19日。该货币对设法下跌，仍面临160.20和161.95左右的阻力，其中每个阻力都可能推动向157.25-65区域修正。高于161.95，市场可能进入新的上升趋势波，第一个目标为163.80。

USD/JPY – 19.03.2026.The pair managed to drop and still faces resistances around 160.20 and 161.95, where each resistance could push for a correction towards the 157.25-65 zone. Above 161.95, the market could enter a new uptrend wave with the first target toward 163.80.

First Light News：中东冲突加剧；英国央行和欧洲央行在甲板上。英国央行和欧洲央行的最新消息将分别于今天格林尼治标准时间中午和下午1:15播出。

First Light News: Middle East Conflict Intensifies; BoE and ECB on Deck.Updates from the BoE and the ECB are due to make the airwaves today at midday GMT and 1:15 pm, respectively.

捷克：看到CNB暂停加固koruna地板-德国商业银行。捷克：看到CNB暂停加固koruna地板-德国商业银行

CZK: CNB pause seen reinforcing koruna floor – Commerzbank.CZK: CNB pause seen reinforcing koruna floor – Commerzbank

1月份欧元区建筑业产出年环比从之前的-0.9%降至-1.9%。1月份欧元区建筑业产出年环比从之前的-0.9%降至-1.9%

Eurozone Construction Output w.d.a (YoY) down to -1.9% in January from previous -0.9%.Eurozone Construction Output w.d.a (YoY) down to -1.9% in January from previous -0.9%

美联储：夏季耐心和延迟降息的最后期限——道明证券。美联储：夏季耐心和延迟降息的最后期限——道明证券

Fed: Summer deadline for patience and delayed cuts – TD Securities.Fed: Summer deadline for patience and delayed cuts – TD Securities

西班牙5年期债券拍卖：2.934%对2.577%。西班牙5年期债券拍卖：2.934%对2.577%

Spain 5-y Bond Auction: 2.934% vs 2.577%.Spain 5-y Bond Auction: 2.934% vs 2.577%

液化天然气：卡塔尔罢工加剧了全球天然气风险——荷兰国际集团。液化天然气：卡塔尔罢工加剧了全球天然气风险——荷兰国际集团

LNG: Qatar strike heightens global gas risk – ING.LNG: Qatar strike heightens global gas risk – ING

花旗意外指数显示金融危机以来最长的上涨时间，等待战争影响。全球经济增长继续跑赢大市​连续14个月的预期——就像伊朗战争引发新的担忧一样‌关于能源价格和全球稳定，这使世界经济走上了自2008-09年金融危机以来最长时间的意外上行轨道。

Citi's surprise index shows longest upside run since financial crisis, awaits war impact.Global economic growth has continued to outperform ​expectations for 14 straight months — just as the war in Iran fuels fresh concerns ‌about energy prices and global stability — putting the world economy on track for its longest run of upside surprises since the 2008-09 financial crisis.

瑞士央行的施莱格尔：我们干预的意愿已经增强。瑞士央行的施莱格尔：我们干预的意愿已经增强

SNB's Schlegel: Our willingness to intervene has increased.SNB's Schlegel: Our willingness to intervene has increased

XBR/USD分析：布伦特原油价格升至110美元以上。昨天，布伦特原油价格大幅上涨，XBR/USD图表显示突破当地阻力位。今天，价格已攀升至110美元以上，接近3月9日创下的多年高点。

XBR/USD Analysis: Brent Crude Rises Above $110.Yesterday, Brent crude prices moved sharply higher, with the XBR/USD chart showing breakouts above local resistance levels. Today, the price has climbed above the $110 mark, bringing it close to the multi-year high recorded on 9 March.

中东战争引发的石油冲击促使投资者避开亚洲货币。随着中东战争的升级，亚洲货币的空头头寸逐渐增加​路透社周四的一项民意调查显示，能源市场受到冲击，重新引发了人们对整个地区通货膨胀、经常账户紧张和政策限制的担忧。

Oil shock from Middle East war pushes investors to shun Asian currencies.Short positions on Asian currencies have edged higher as an escalating war in the Middle East ​has jolted energy markets, reviving concerns over inflation, current-account strains and policy constraints across the region, a Reuters poll showed on Thursday.

英国：劳动力市场趋于稳定，未来将面临新的风险——德意志银行。英国：劳动力市场趋于稳定，未来将面临新的风险——德意志银行

UK: Labour market stabilising, new risks ahead – Deutsche Bank.UK: Labour market stabilising, new risks ahead – Deutsche Bank

美联储：鹰派持有为美元提供了短暂的支撑——DBS。美联储：鹰派持有为美元提供了短暂的支撑——DBS

Fed: Hawkish hold provided momentary anchor for USD – DBS.Fed: Hawkish hold provided momentary anchor for USD – DBS

瑞士央行维持利率，暗示将加大外汇干预力度以限制法郎走强。瑞士央行保持利率不变，但加强干预立场，旨在限制瑞士法郎的涨幅，因为能源驱动的通货膨胀只是暂时上升。正如普遍预期的那样，央行将政策利率保持在0.00%不变，但在全球不确定性加剧的情况下，央行在外汇干预方面措辞更加强硬。

SNB holds rates, signals stronger FX intervention to cap Franc strength.SNB holds rates but strengthens intervention stance, aiming to cap CHF gains as energy-driven inflation rises only temporarily. The central bank kept its policy rate unchanged at 0.00%, as widely expected, but sharpened its language on foreign exchange intervention amid heightened global uncertainty.