2025年4月,德国ZEW经济情绪指标从3月的51.6降至-14,为2023年7月以来的最低水平,远低于9.5的预测。这标志着自2022年俄罗斯入侵乌克兰以来预期的最大跌幅,因为美国贸易政策的不可预测的变化继续严重影响市场情绪。ZEW总裁Achim Wambach博士表示:“不仅宣布的互惠关税对全球贸易的潜在影响,而且其变化的动态性也导致了全球不确定性的大幅增加。汽车和化学工业以及金属、机械和钢铁生产等出口密集型行业最近有了显著改善,尤其受到影响。”。与此同时,对当前经济形势的评估略有改善,从-87.6降至-81.2。
The ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment for Germany sank to -14 in April 2025, the lowest since July 2023, from 51.6 in March, and much worse than forecasts of 9.5. It marks the steepest drop in expectations since the onset of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in 2022, as unpredictable shifts in US trade policy continue to weigh heavily on sentiment. "Not only the potential consequences of the announced reciprocity tariffs for global trade, but also the dynamic nature of their changes have led to a massive increase in global uncertainty. Export-intensive sectors such as the automotive and chemical industries, as well as metal, machinery, and steel production, which have recently seen significant improvements, are particularly affected", ZEW President Prof. Achim Wambach, PhD, said. Meanwhile, the assessment of the current economic situation improved slightly to -81.2 from -87.6.