英镑/日元价格预测：189.00以下的看跌前景保持不变。周三欧洲早盘，英镑/日元交叉盘将一些卖家吸引到188.80左右。英国消费者价格指数（CPI）通胀报告发布后，英镑（GBP）兑日元（JPY）走软。

GBP/JPY Price Forecast: Bearish outlook remains intact below 189.00.The GBP/JPY cross attracts some sellers to around 188.80 during the early European session on Wednesday. The Pound Sterling (GBP) weakens against the Japanese Yen (JPY) after the UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation report.

英国CPI降至2.6%，商品和服务通胀均有所缓解。英国3月份消费者通胀继续缓解，整体CPI同比放缓至2.6%，略低于预期的2.7%，低于2月份的2.8%。按月计算，价格上涨0.3%，也低于妈妈普遍预测的0.4%。

UK CPI falls to 2.6%, both goods and services inflation ease.UK consumer inflation continued to ease in March, with headline CPI slowing to 2.6% yoy, slightly below the expected 2.7% and down from 2.8% yoy in February. On a monthly basis, prices rose 0.3%, also under consensus 0.4% mom forecast.

英国的年度核心通胀率从上个月的3.5%小幅降至2025年3月的3.4%，与市场共识相符，同时创下自12月以来的最低水平。年度CPI商品价格有所下降（0.6%对2月份的0.8%），CPI服务价格也有所放缓（4.7%对5.0%）。在2月份上涨0.4%之后，核心消费者价格指数环比上涨0.5%，为十个月来最大涨幅。这符合预期。

The United Kingdom's annual core inflation rate inched lower to 3.4% in March 2025 from 3.5% in the previous month, matching market consensus while marking its lowest reading since December. The annual CPI goods rate eased (0.6% vs 0.8% in February), and the CPI services rate also slowed (4.7% vs 5.0%). On a monthly basis, core consumer prices rose by 0.5%, the largest increase in ten months, following a 0.4% gain in February. It was in line with expectations.

英国的年通货膨胀率从2月份的2.8%降至2025年3月的2.6%，低于2.7%的预测。下降幅度最大的是娱乐和文化（2.4%对3.4%），主要是游戏、玩具和爱好（-4.2%）和数据处理设备（-5.1%）。交通也导致了经济放缓（1.2%对1.8%），主要是由于汽车燃料价格下跌5.3%。此外，餐馆和酒店的价格涨幅较小（3%，为2021年7月以来的最低水平，为3.4%），主要是住宿服务（-0.6%）；住房和公用事业（1.8%对1.9%）；食品和非酒精饮料（3%对3.3%）。相比之下，服装和鞋类的涨幅最大（1.1%对-0.6%），随着春季时尚继续进入商店，3月份的价格通常会上涨。与上月相比，CPI小幅上涨0.3%，略低于上月涨幅和0.4%的市场预期。年度核心通胀率从3.5%降至3.4%。

The annual inflation rate in the UK slowed to 2.6% in March 2025 from 2.8% in February and below forecasts of 2.7%. The largest downward contributions came from recreation and culture (2.4% vs 3.4%), mainly games, toys and hobbies (-4.2%) and data processing equipment (-5.1%). Transport also contributed to the slowdown (1.2% vs 1.8%), largely due to a 5.3% fall in motor fuel prices. In addition, prices rose less for restaurants and hotels (3%, the lowest since July 2021 vs 3.4%), mostly accommodation services (-0.6%); housing and utilities (1.8% vs 1.9%); and food and non-alcoholic beverages (3% vs 3.3%). In contrast, the most significant upward contribution came from clothing and footwear (1.1% vs -0.6%), with prices usually rising in March as spring fashions continue to enter the shops. Compared to the previous month, the CPI edged up 0.3%, slightly below both the previous month’s increase and market expectations of 0.4%. Annual core inflation slowed to 3.4% from 3.5%.