周二,澳元兑美元汇率稳定在0.628美元,本周迄今为止一直处于横盘整理状态,因为投资者正在等待政府的总体预算公告,预计该公告将在两年盈余后显示赤字。与此同时,澳大利亚储备银行将于下周决定货币政策,市场普遍预计不会有任何变化。交易员目前认为,继澳大利亚储备银行上个月四年多来首次降息后,5月份再次降息的可能性为三分之二。然而,央行警告称,进一步宽松政策并非板上钉钉。在全球范围内,市场情绪受到美国贸易政策不确定性的影响。尽管人们越来越乐观地认为,唐纳德·特朗普总统可能会在4月2日的最后期限之前采取更有选择性的关税措施,但他周一承诺对汽车、制药和其他行业征税,这增加了不确定性。
The Australian dollar remained steady at $0.628 on Tuesday, remaining sideways so far this week as investors awaited the government’s general budget announcement, which is expected to reveal a deficit after two years of surpluses. Meanwhile, the Reserve Bank of Australia is set to decide on monetary policy next week, with markets widely anticipating no changes. Traders currently see a two-thirds chance of another rate cut in May, following the RBA’s first reduction in over four years last month. However, the central bank has cautioned that further easing is not guaranteed. Globally, market sentiment was influenced by uncertainty over US trade policy. While optimism grew that President Donald Trump may take a more selective approach to tariffs ahead of the April 2 deadline, his pledge to impose levies on automobiles, pharmaceuticals, and other industries on Monday added to the uncertainty.