澳元、澳交所、澳元债券交易员-今天是澳大利亚的（某种）假期。今天是澳大利亚主要市场中心悉尼的假期（对不起，墨尔本）。市场是开放的，但随着悉尼的退出，利息和流动性将减少。

AUD, ASX, Aussie bond traders - it's a (sort of) holiday in Australia today.It's a holiday in Australia's major market centre of Sydney today (sorry Melbourne). Markets are open but interest and liquidity is going to be diminished with Sydney out.

欧元/美元、美元/日元和澳元/美元预测——美元继续震荡。周五早些时候，美元有点疲软，但归根结底，我们必须承认，美元一直在反击我们最近看到的压力。

EUR/USD, USD/JPY and AUD/USD Forecast – US Dollar Continues to be Choppy.The US dollar was a little soft in the early hours of Friday, but at the end of the day, we have to acknowledge that the US dollar has been fighting back against the pressures that we have seen lately.

标准普尔/澳交所200指数周五上涨0.5%，收于8987点，延续了前一交易日1.1%的涨势，达到五周来的最高水平，科技股提振了市场。该指数本周也上涨了2.3%，创下4月下旬以来的最佳单周涨幅。华尔街的强劲领先提振了该指数，因为对人工智能交易的乐观情绪超过了对美国政府关门的担忧，推动美国基准指数创下新高。在国内，最新数据显示，9月份澳大利亚服务业连续第20个月增长，但增速为6月份以来的最低水平。回到股市，科技股领涨，上涨1.6%，达到两周高点，这是自9月19日以来的最大盘中涨幅，也是连续第三个交易日上涨。行业领导者Xero和Technology One分别上涨1.7%和2.2%，与美国同行持平。值得注意的推动者包括CSL（0.8%）、麦格理（1.8%）、古德曼（0.9%）和莱纳斯稀土（2.8%）。

The S&P/ASX 200 rose 0.5% to close at 8,987 on Friday, extending its 1.1% rally in the previous session to reach its highest level in five weeks, as tech stocks lifted the market. The index also climbed 2.3% over the week, marking its best weekly gain since late April. A strong lead from Wall Street boosted the index, as optimism over AI trade outweighed concerns about the US government shutdown, driving US benchmarks to new highs. Domestically, latest data showed Australia’s services sector grew for a 20th straight month in September, though at its slowest pace since June. Back on the bourse, technology stocks led the advance, climbing 1.6% to a two-week high, their biggest intraday gain since September 19, and marking their third straight session of gains. Sector leaders Xero and TechnologyOne rose 1.7% and 2.2%, respectively, tracking their US peers higher. Notable movers include CSL (0.8%), Macquarie (1.8%), Goodman (0.9%), and Lynas Rare Earths (2.8%).

周五，澳大利亚10年期政府债券收益率升至4.32%，尽管最新经济数据令人失望。由于服务业增长疲软，9月份商业活动放缓至三个月低点。周四公布的数据还显示，8月份家庭支出增长低于预期，而该国的贸易顺差急剧下降至七年来的最低点，远低于市场预测。尽管有这些疲软的迹象，但这些数据对利率预期几乎没有影响。市场目前预计，澳大利亚储备银行11月会议降息25个基点的可能性只有45%，低于一个月前的近100%。这一转变是在澳大利亚储备银行周二将其现金利率稳定在3.60%（如预期）之后发生的，该行警告称，通货膨胀率高于预期，而经济前景仍不确定。

Australia’s 10-year government bond yield rose to 4.32% on Friday, even as latest economic data disappointed. Business activity slowed to a three-month low in September, amid a softer growth in the services sector. Data out on Thursday also showed household spending in August rose less than expected, while the country’s trade surplus fell sharply to a seven-year low and was far below market forecasts. Despite these signs of weakness, the data had little impact on rate expectations. Markets are now pricing in only a 45% probability of a 25bps rate cut at the Reserve Bank of Australia’s November meeting, down from nearly 100% a month ago. This shift comes after the RBA left its cash rate steady as expected at 3.60% on Tuesday, warning inflation was running hotter than expected while the economic outlook remains uncertain.