法国10年期OAT收益率飙升至3.3%,触及4月15日以来的最高水平,因为对全球贸易谈判日益增长的乐观情绪激发了投资者对风险资产的兴趣。周四,美国总统唐纳德·特朗普和英国首相凯尔·斯塔默公布了一项有限的双边贸易协议。尽管该协议保留了特朗普对英国进口商品征收的10%关税,但它大大减轻了美国对英国汽车出口的关税,这可能为与其他国家达成类似协议打开了大门。与此同时,美国和中国之间的贸易谈判计划于本周末恢复,人们越来越希望对中国商品征收的145%的高额关税能够降低。反映这些发展,货币市场现在预计欧洲央行(ECB)的存款利率将从4月中旬的1.55%以下升至1.67%。这一调整是在欧洲央行表示准备进一步降低借贷成本以缓冲美国贸易政策对增长和通胀的经济影响之际进行的。
France’s 10-year OAT yield surged toward 3.3%, touching its highest level since April 15, as growing optimism over global trade negotiations fueled investor appetite for riskier assets. On Thursday, U.S. President Donald Trump and U.K. Prime Minister Keir Starmer unveiled a limited bilateral trade deal. Although the agreement preserves Trump’s 10% tariffs on British imports, it eases significant U.S. duties on British car exports, potentially opening the door for similar deals with other countries. At the same time, trade discussions between the U.S. and China are scheduled to resume this weekend, with hopes rising that the hefty 145% tariffs on Chinese goods could be reduced. Reflecting these developments, money markets now anticipate a European Central Bank (ECB) deposit rate of 1.67%, up from below 1.55% in mid-April. This adjustment comes as the ECB signals readiness to lower borrowing costs further to cushion the economic impact of U.S. trade policy on growth and inflation.