美元/加元 (USDCAD) 加自选

周三，美元指数徘徊在98.8左右，本周横盘整理，因投资者在经济数据喜忧参半和贸易紧张局势加剧的情况下评估了美联储的政策前景。ISM数据显示，7月份美国服务业活动几乎停滞，低于预期，突显出唐纳德·特朗普总统的关税对经济的拖累。与此同时，特朗普表示，他将在本周末宣布一名候选人，以填补美联储理事会的空缺，同时缩小主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔的潜在继任者名单。市场继续预计美联储9月份降息的可能性超过90%，预计到年底将放宽约60个基点。在贸易方面，特朗普威胁要对药品进口征收高达250%的关税，并可能对半导体征税。

The dollar index hovered around 98.8 on Wednesday, trading sideways for the week as investors assessed the Federal Reserve’s policy outlook amid mixed economic data and renewed trade tensions. ISM data showed US services activity nearly stalled in July, falling short of expectations and underscoring the economic drag from President Donald Trump’s tariffs. Meanwhile, Trump said he will announce a nominee to fill a vacancy on the Fed’s Board of Governors by the end of the week, while also narrowing the list of potential replacements for Chair Jerome Powell. Markets continued to price in a more than 90% probability of a Fed rate cut in September, with about 60 basis points of easing anticipated by year-end. On the trade front, Trump threatened to impose tariffs of up to 250% on pharmaceutical imports and potential levies on semiconductors.