美元/丹麦克朗 (USDDKK) 加自选

美元努力从鸽派鲍威尔的肠道冲击中复苏。周一，美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔（Jerome Powell）的鸽派转向导致美元下跌超过1%后，美元试图从欧元的四周低点回升。

Dollar struggles to recover from dovish Powell gut punch.The U.S. dollar attempted on Monday to pull itself up from a four-week low on the euro after a dovish pivot from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell sent it tumbling more than 1%.

周一，美国股指期货保持稳定，投资者等待繁忙的一周企业盈利，这可能决定最近科技股的反弹是否会进一步扩大。英伟达和CrowdStrike将于周三公布业绩，随后戴尔和Marvell将于周四公布业绩。人们的注意力还将转向周五公布的7月份个人消费支出价格指数，这是美联储首选的通胀指标。周五，华尔街股市强劲上涨，道琼斯工业平均指数上涨1.89%，标准普尔500指数上涨1.52%，纳斯达克综合指数上涨1.88%。美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔在杰克逊霍尔演讲中表示，美联储最早可能在下个月开始放松货币政策，随后出现反弹。市场现在认为，9月份降息25个基点的可能性为87%，高于上周某个时候的75%左右。

US stock futures held steady on Monday as investors awaited a busy week of corporate earnings that could determine whether the recent tech rally extends further. Nvidia and CrowdStrike are set to report results on Wednesday, followed by Dell and Marvell on Thursday. Attention will also turn to Friday’s release of the July personal consumption expenditures price index, the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge. On Friday, Wall Street posted strong gains, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average climbing 1.89%, the S&P 500 rising 1.52%, and the Nasdaq Composite advancing 1.88%. The rally came after Fed Chair Jerome Powell signaled during his Jackson Hole speech that the central bank could begin easing monetary policy as soon as next month. Markets now assign an 87% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in September, up from around 75% at some point last week.

冯德莱恩：欧盟-美国贸易协定避免升级，缓解欧元和出口商的风险。欧盟首席执行官冯德莱恩为欧盟与华盛顿的贸易协定辩护称，该协定“即使不完美，也是强有力的”，称其可以防止破坏性的跨大西洋贸易战。她强调，尽管布鲁塞尔方面正在推动进一步削减关税，但欧洲15%的单一关税税率为出口商提供了相对有利的美国准入。

Von der Leyen: EU–US trade pact for averting escalation, easing risks for euro, exporters.EU chief von der Leyen defended the bloc's trade pact with Washington as “strong, if not perfect,” saying it prevents a damaging transatlantic trade war. She highlighted that Europe's single 15% tariff rate gives exporters relatively favourable U.S. access, even as Brussels pushes for further cuts.

美元预测：鲍威尔公布劳动力市场风险后，看跌前景增强。随着鲍威尔发出降息可能很快到来的信号，DXY下跌。在杰克逊霍尔发表关于劳动力风险的鸽派演讲后，交易员预计9月份宽松的可能性为91%。

US Dollar Forecast: Bearish Outlook Builds After Powell Flags Labor Market Risks.DXY sinks as Powell signals rate cuts could come soon. Traders price in 91% chance of September easing after dovish Jackson Hole speech on labor risks.