澳元/丹麦克朗 (AUDDKK) 加自选

欧元/美元、美元/日元和澳元/美元预测——美元继续小幅走软。周三凌晨，美元似乎将继续走软，因为美联储仍然是前沿和中心，而美国的经济数据最近看起来继续有点疲软。

EUR/USD, USD/JPY and AUD/USD Forecast – US Dollar Continues to Soften Slightly.The US dollar looks as if it is going to continue to see a bit of softening in the early hours of Wednesday, as the Federal Reserve is still front and center, as the economic data in the United States continues to look a little weaker recently.

澳元/日元价格预测：测试9天均线关口，接近96.00心理水平。澳元/日元连续第二天上涨，周三欧洲时间交易在95.90左右。日线图的技术分析显示，货币交叉仍处于下行通道模式，表明普遍存在看跌倾向。

AUD/JPY Price Forecast: Tests nine-day EMA barrier, near 96.00 psychological level.AUD/JPY continues to gain ground for the second successive day, trading around 95.90 during the European hours on Wednesday. The technical analysis of the daily chart shows that the currency cross remains within the descending channel pattern, suggesting a prevailing bearish bias.

标准普尔/澳交所200指数周三上涨0.8%，收于8841点的历史新高，延续了前一交易日创纪录的收盘涨幅，因为国内和全球降息的押注增加提振了该指数。由于对美国经济的担忧日益加剧，市场预计美联储9月份降息的可能性超过90%，而澳大利亚掉期交易显示，市场完全预计澳大利亚储备银行下周将降息25个基点。投资者现在等待特朗普本周提名美联储董事会候选人的计划，同时缩小鲍威尔继任者的选择范围。黄金股受益最大，上涨2.4%，达到两周高点，受到金价走强的支撑。Northern Star和Newmont分别上涨5.2%和2.3%，而西非资源公司上涨5.7%，创下两个月新高。此外，银行和房地产等利率敏感行业分别上涨0.7%和0.9%。矿业股也上涨，因中国需求强劲，铁矿石价格走强，必和必拓上涨0.8%，力拓上涨0.4%。

The S&P/ASX 200 climbed 0.8% to close at a fresh all-time high of 8,841 on Wednesday, extending gains from the previous session’s record finish, as rising bets of domestic and global rate cuts boosted the index. Markets are pricing in over 90% odds of a Fed rate cut in September amid growing concerns over the US economy, while Australian swaps show markets are fully pricing in a quarter-point RBA cut next week. Investors now await Trump’s plans to name a Fed board nominee this week, while narrowing choices for Powell’s replacement. Gold stocks benefited the most, up 2.4% to a two-week high, supported by firmer bullion prices. Northern Star and Newmont rose 5.2% and 2.3%, respectively, while West African Resources jumped 5.7% to a two-month high. Additionally, interest rate-sensitive sectors such as banks and real estate gained 0.7% and 0.9%, respectively. Miners also advanced, tracking stronger iron ore prices on firm Chinese demand, with BHP up 0.8% and Rio Tinto gaining 0.4%.

澳大利亚10年期政府债券收益率周三升至4.25%，此前在上一交易日触及一个多月低点，投资者正在等待储备银行下周的政策决定。在一系列疲软的经济指标之后，市场已经完全消化了央行降息25个基点的预期。周二，澳新银行和就业平台Indeed的数据显示，7月份的招聘广告下降了1%，这加剧了劳动力市场降温的迹象。单独的数据还显示，6月份家庭支出略有增长，表明消费需求疲软。此前，上月有报道称通胀放缓，就业数据令人失望。与此同时，今天早些时候公布的数据显示，7月份澳大利亚工业出现复苏迹象，主要受商业服务业的推动，而制造业仍在苦苦挣扎。

Australia’s 10-year government bond yield rose to 4.25% on Wednesday after hitting a more than one-month low in the previous session, with investors awaiting the Reserve Bank’s policy decision next week. Markets are already fully priced for a 25bps rate cut from the central bank, following a string of weak economic indicators. On Tuesday, data from ANZ and employment platform Indeed showed that job advertisements declined by 1% in July — adding to signs of a cooling labor market. Separate figures also revealed a modest increase in household spending in June, pointing to subdued consumer demand. These follow last month’s reports of slowing inflation and a disappointing jobs data. Meanwhile, data released earlier today indicated signs of recovery in Australian industry in July, driven largely by business services, while the manufacturing sector continued to struggle.