澳元/纽币 (AUDNZD) 加自选

周五，新西兰元微涨至0.575美元，但仍接近六个月低点，因为市场情绪继续受到储备银行鸽派立场的拖累。本周早些时候，新西兰储备银行将其官方现金利率大幅下调50个基点至2.50%，为2022年7月以来的最低水平，并在对经济疲软状况的担忧下，为进一步宽松敞开了大门。市场目前预计，新西兰储备银行11月下次会议降息25个基点的可能性为80%，最终降息2.0%的可能性为36%。美元走强加剧了新西兰元的下行压力，这得益于一些美联储官员在9月会议纪要和持续评论中的鹰派语气。在经济新闻方面，新西兰9月份的制造业采购经理人指数（PMI）保持在49.9不变，这表明该行业持续收缩，缺乏动力。新西兰元本周迄今已下跌超过1%。

The New Zealand dollar edged up to $0.575 on Friday but remained close to a six-month low, as sentiment continued to be weighed down by the dovish stance of the Reserve Bank. Earlier in the week, the RBNZ cut its official cash rate by an outsized 50bps to 2.50%, the lowest level since July 2022, and left the door open to yet further easing amid concerns about the frail state of the economy. Markets are now pricing in an 80% probability of a 25bps rate cut at the RBNZ’s next meeting in November, and a 36% chance of ending at 2.0%. Downward pressure on the kiwi was compounded by a stronger US dollar, which is aided by hawkish tone from some Federal Reserve officials, both in the minutes from September’s meeting as well as ongoing commentary. In economic news, New Zealand’s Manufacturing PMI was unchanged at 49.9 in September, signaling continued contraction and a lack of momentum in the sector. The New Zealand dollar has declined more than 1% so far this week.