加拿大CFIB商业晴雨表长期指数反映了小企业对未来12个月的预期,该指数从上个月的40上升到2025年6月的47.3,上升了7.3点。这标志着自2月以来的最高水平,这是由于出口商和进口商的预期增强,出口商的信心从5月的26.4升至36.1,进口商的前景从28.9升至37.4。与此同时,不从事国际贸易的企业报告称,市场情绪有所改善,该指数从34.2升至43.4。尽管乐观情绪日益高涨,但招聘意向仍然低迷。全职员工计划显示势头不大,表明对扩大工资的兴趣有限,而兼职就业趋势也仍然疲软,反映出谨慎的招聘行为。与此同时,衡量三个月预期的短期指数从上月的42.4升至6月的47.7。
Canada’s CFIB Business Barometer long-term index, which reflects twelve-month expectations among small businesses, increased by 7.3 points to 47.3 in June 2025, from 40 in the previous month. This marked the highest level since February, driven by stronger expectations among both exporters, whose confidence climbed to 36.1 from 26.4 in May, and importers, whose outlook rose to 37.4 from 28.9. At the same time, businesses not engaged in international trade reported improved sentiment, with the index rising to 43.4 from 34.2. Despite the growing optimism, hiring intentions remain subdued. Full-time staffing plans show little momentum, indicating limited interest in expanding payrolls, while part-time employment trends also remain soft, reflecting cautious hiring behavior. Meanwhile, the short-term index, which measures three-month expectations, rose to 47.7 in June from 42.4 in the preceding month.