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9月数据显示加拿大第三季度GDP增长减半。我们预计，加拿大国内生产总值在8月份保持稳定后，周五将小幅回升至0.2%。这应该使第三季度的读数与我们对1%年化增长的预测一致，略低于加拿大银行1.5%的预测，不到第二季度2.1%增长的一半。

September data to show Canadian GDP growth halved in Q3.We look for gross domestic product growth in Canada to have picked up slightly to 0.2% in September on Friday after holding steady in August. That should leave the Q3 reading in line with our projection for a 1% annualized increase—slightly below the Bank of Canada's 1.5% forecast and less than half the 2.1% rise in Q2.

标准普尔/多伦多证交所综合指数周五上涨0.2%，收于25440点，连续第五个交易日上涨，创下历史新高，周涨幅超过2.2%。投资者对强劲的零售销售数据反应积极，这增强了人们对下个月降息的预期。10月份零售额可能增长0.7%，这是继9月份上调0.4%后连续第四个月增长。加拿大政府最近提出63亿美元的新支出以刺激经济，这也支持了反弹。大多数板块上涨，布鲁克菲尔德、加拿大国家铁路和加拿大太平洋铁路等大型股领涨，涨幅在1.3%至2%之间。随着石油和黄金价格攀升，能源和矿业股进一步上涨。

The S&P/TSX Composite Index climbed 0.2% to close at 25,440 on Friday, marking its fifth straight session of gains and a fresh record high, with a weekly advance of over 2.2%. Investors reacted positively to robust retail sales data, which strengthened expectations for an interest rate cut next month. Retail sales likely rose by 0.7% in October, marking the fourth consecutive monthly increase following an upwardly revised 0.4% gain in September. The rally was also supported by the Canadian government’s recent proposal of $6.3 billion in new spending to stimulate the economy. Most sectors traded higher, led by mega caps Brookfield, Canadian National Railway, and Canadian Pacific Railway, which gained between 1.3% and 2%. Energy and mining stocks added further momentum as oil and gold prices climbed.

标准普尔/多伦多证交所综合指数周五上涨0.2%，突破25440大关，连续第五个交易日上涨，创下新高，周涨幅超过2.2%。加拿大政府提出63亿美元的新支出以刺激经济，推动了反弹。大多数股票交易走高，其中大型股Shopify、道明银行和布鲁克菲尔德领涨，涨幅超过0.4%，而加拿大国家铁路和加拿大太平洋铁路分别上涨0.8%和1.5%。随着石油和黄金价格的上涨，能源和矿业股也提振了该指数。在经济方面，加拿大10月份零售额可能增长0.7%，这是继9月份上调0.4%后连续第四个月增长。

The S&P/TSX Composite Index rose 0.2% to surpass the 25,440 mark on Friday, marking its fifth consecutive session of gains and setting a fresh record high, with a weekly advance of over 2.2%. The rally was fueled by the Canadian government’s proposal of $6.3 billion in new spending to stimulate the economy. Most stocks traded higher, led by mega caps Shopify, TD Bank, and Brookfield, which added over 0.4%, while Canadian National Railway and Canadian Pacific Railway gained 0.8% and 1.5%, respectively. Energy and mining stocks also boosted the index as oil and gold prices rose. On the economic front, Canadian retail sales likely increased by 0.7% in October, marking a fourth consecutive monthly gain, following an upwardly revised 0.4% rise in September.

加拿大新房价格在两个月没有变化后，于2024年10月下跌0.4%，低于0.1%的涨幅预期，这是自2009年4月以来最大的月度跌幅。27个大都市中有9个地区的房价下跌，跌幅最大的是多伦多（-1.2%）、温哥华（-0.6%）和温莎（0.6%）。相比之下，温尼伯（+0.4%）和卡尔加里（+0.2%）的增幅最大。与去年相比，10月份新房价格下跌0.2%，而前一个月上涨0.2%。

New home prices in Canada dropped by 0.4% in October 2024, following two months of no change and against expectations of a 0.1% increase, marking the sharpest monthly decline since April 2009. Prices decreased in 9 out of 27 metropolitan areas, with the largest drops recorded in Toronto (-1.2%), Vancouver (-0.6%), and Windsor (-0.6%). In contrast, the biggest increases were seen in Winnipeg (+0.4%) and Calgary (+0.2%). Compared to last year, new home prices fell 0.2% in October, following a 0.2% increase in the previous month.