国际货币基金组织（IMF）预计，墨西哥经济在2025年将增长1.0%，低于2024年的1.4%，然后在2026年回升至1.5%。这一预测低于墨西哥政府明年1.8%至2.8%的增长预测，而预算赤字预计将略微降至4.10%。该机构警告称，需要采取财政和结构性措施来确保长期经济稳定。与此同时，该机构表示，根据现行政策，到2030年，墨西哥的公共总债务与国内生产总值之比可能会上升到61.5%。这家国际银行在工作人员访问墨西哥后表示，墨西哥的经济前景因贸易紧张局势、基础设施差距和财政脆弱性而蒙上阴影。然而，国际货币基金组织指出，该国金融稳定的风险似乎很低。如果美国的需求强于预期，如果墨西哥确保对其与美国和加拿大的贸易协定进行有利的审查，经济前景可能会改善。

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) expects Mexico's economy to grow by 1.0% in 2025, down from 1.4% in 2024, before ticking up to 1.5% in 2026. The forecast is below the Mexican government's projection of growth between 1.8% and 2.8% next year, while the budget deficit is expected to fall slightly to 4.10%. The agency warned that fiscal and structural measures are needed to secure long-term economic stability. Meanwhile, Mexico's public gross debt-to-GDP ratio could rise to 61.5% by 2030 under current policy, the agency said. Mexico’s economic outlook is clouded by trade tensions, infrastructure gaps, and fiscal vulnerabilities, the international lender stated after a staff visit to the country. However, the IMF noted that risks to the country’s financial stability appear to be low. The economic outlook could improve if US demand is stronger than expected, and if Mexico secures a favorable review of its trade pact with the US and Canada.