澳大利亚10年期政府债券收益率降至4.54%左右,追随美国债券收益率的下降,此前美国最近的经济数据显示,美联储今年可能会继续放松货币政策。与此同时,尽管最新数据显示就业市场强劲,但国内投资者仍暗示澳大利亚储备银行在2月份的会议上降息的可能性约为70%。12月,经济增加了56300个工作岗位,远远超过了预期的15000个和上个月的28200个。失业率从11月的3.9%微升至4%,与预测相符。总体而言,尽管高利率带来了挑战,但这些数据突显了劳动力市场的弹性。即将发布的季度通胀报告和零售销售数据都将在澳大利亚储备银行做出决定之前发布,这将为经济健康状况提供进一步的见解,对投资者评估央行的下一步政策举措至关重要。
Australia’s 10-year government bond yield fell to around 4.54%, tracking a decline in U.S. bond yields after recent U.S. economic data suggested that the Federal Reserve might continue easing monetary policy this year. Meanwhile, domestic investors are still implying around a 70% chance that the Reserve Bank of Australia will cut rates at its February meeting, despite latest data pointing to a strong job market. In December, the economy added a remarkable 56,300 jobs, far exceeding the expected 15,000 and the previous month’s figure of 28,200. The unemployment rate edged up to 4% from November’s 3.9%, in line with forecasts. Overall, the data highlighted the labor market’s resilience, despite challenges posed by high interest rates. The upcoming quarterly inflation report and retail sales data, both set to be released before the RBA's decision, will offer further insights into the health of the economy and be crucial for investors in assessing the central bank’s next policy move.