新加坡元/日元 (SGDJPY) 加自选

美元/日元–2025年9月15日。美元兑日元保持在145.70的旧支撑位之上，并在上周四再次反弹至148.20。145.70至149.15之间的交易区仍如预期般支撑着市场。

USD/JPY –15.09.2025.  USDJPY held above the old support at 145.70 and managed to hit a rebound again towards 148.20 last Thursday. This trading zone between 145.70 and 149.15 is still holding the market as expected.

新加坡旅游局周一公布的最新数据显示，2025年8月，新加坡国际游客人数同比增长4.5%，达到160万人次。中国仍然是这个城市国家的最大客源市场，本月游客人数超过39.8万人。2025年前八个月，外国游客总数为1160万人次，比去年同期增长2.7%。中国继续成为新加坡最大的游客来源地，有230万游客，其次是印度尼西亚和印度。此前，新加坡旅游局表示，预计2025年全年游客人数将达到1700万至1850万，旅游收入约为290亿新元（226亿美元）至305亿新元。

Singapore’s international visitor arrivals increased 4.5% year-on-year in August 2025, reaching 1.6 million, according to the latest data from the Singapore Tourism Board (STB) released on Monday. China remained the city-state’s top source market, contributing over 398,000 visitors during the month. In the first eight months of 2025, foreign tourist arrivals totaled 11.6 million, marking a 2.7% increase from the same period last year. China continued to lead as Singapore’s largest source of tourists with 2.3 million arrivals, followed by Indonesia and India. Previously, the STB said it expects full-year visitor arrivals in 2025 to reach between 17.0 million and 18.5 million, generating approximately SGD 29.0 billion (US$22.6 billion) to SGD 30.5 billion in tourism receipts.

周一，日元兑美元汇率升至147.5左右，收复了上周的部分失地，因为市场将注意力转向了日本央行的政策会议。人们普遍预计日本央行将把利率稳定在0.5%，因为官员们正在权衡国内逆风和全球风险，包括美国关税的影响。交易员们也在等待新的贸易数据，预计进出口将保持低迷，以及通胀数据，核心CPI预计将放缓至2.7%，为2024年11月以来的最低水平。从外部来看，预计美联储本周将降息25个基点，最近的美国数据表明劳动力状况疲软，通胀放缓。与此同时，由于日本投资者庆祝国庆节，交易量可能仍然很小。

The yen strengthened to around 147.5 per dollar on Monday, recovering part of last week’s losses as markets turned their focus to the Bank of Japan’s policy meeting. The BOJ is widely expected to leave rates steady at 0.5% as officials weigh domestic headwinds and global risks, including the effects of US tariffs. Traders also await fresh trade data, with both exports and imports projected to stay subdued, as well as inflation figures, where core CPI is forecast to slow to 2.7%, the lowest since November 2024. Externally, the Federal Reserve is anticipated to deliver a 25 basis point rate cut this week, with recent US data signaling softer labor conditions and muted inflation. Meanwhile, trading volumes are likely to remain light as Japanese investors observe a national holiday.

日元展望：美元/日元在美联储和日本央行之前被困在区间内。美元/日元进入本周区间波动，但保持微妙平衡，央行风险将决定下一步走势。相关性显示，该货币对几乎完全跟踪美联储的定价，突显了美国利率预期的主导地位，而风险情绪几乎没有表现出来。

Japanese Yen Outlook: USD/JPY trapped in range ahead of Fed and BOJ.USD/JPY enters the week rangebound but finely balanced, with central bank risk set to decide the next move. Correlations show the pair is tracking Fed pricing almost exclusively, underscoring how dominant U.S. rate expectations have become while risk sentiment barely registers.