美元/克罗地亚库纳 (USDHRK) 加自选

原油–2025年12月11日。油价昨日成功触及57.60-80的目标，引发反弹。当价格跌破57.50时，可能会守住这个交易区，更有可能跌至56.00和54.80。

Crude Oil – 11.12.2025.Oil managed to hit the target of 57.60-80 yesterday which caused a rebound. Prices could hold this trading zone while below 57.50, more threat for a drop toward 56.00 and 54.80 is likely.

美元下跌，因为市场拒绝接受“鹰派削减”的说法；澳元在工党小姐之后大幅下跌。美联储预期的25个基点降息受到市场热烈欢迎后，美国股市隔夜稳步上涨。尽管一些经济学家将这一决定称为“鹰派降息”，但股市反应和美元抛售的风险表明，投资者没有听到任何鹰派言论足以破坏短期情绪。

Dollar Falls as Markets Reject “Hawkish Cut” Narrative; Aussie Falls Hard After Labour Miss.US stocks advanced solidly overnight after the Fed's expected 25bps rate cut was greeted warmly by markets. Even though some economists labeled the decision a “hawkish cut,” the risk-on response in equities and the sell in Dollar suggested investors heard nothing hawkish enough to derail near-term sentiment.

贝莱德的Chiguchi表示，由于通胀加速，日本市场面临“曲线后”利率风险。贝莱德日本首席投资策略师Yuichi Chiguchi表示，如果央行发现自己在抑制通胀方面“落后于曲线”，明年日本市场可能会受到冲击。

Japan markets face 'behind the curve' rate risk on faster inflation, BlackRock's Chiguchi says.Japanese markets could be jolted next year if the central bank finds itself "behind the curve" in taming inflation, according to BlackRock Japan's chief investment strategist Yuichi Chiguchi.

美联储不那么鹰派的降息——我们坚持我们的呼吁。在挪威，《区域调查》即将发布。我们预计，这将证实增长将继续以温和的速度增长，产能利用率基本保持不变，并表明活动水平略低于正常水平。

A Not-So-Hawkish Fed Cut – We Maintain Our Call.In Norway, the Regional Survey is due for release. We expect it to confirm that growth continues to rise at a moderate pace, with capacity utilization largely unchanged and indicate that the level of activity is somewhat below normal.