沪铝主力 (SHF_AL) 加自选

世界银行将中国2025年GDP预测上调至4.8%。世界银行正在上调对中国经济的展望，预计2025年GDP增长率为4.8%，2026年将放缓至4.2%。他们之前的预测是在4月份做出的，并将这两年的增长率定为4.0%。

World Bank raises China 2025 GDP forecast to 4.8%.The World Bank is lifting its outlook on the Chinese economy, forecasting 2025 GDP growth to be at 4.8% before slowing to 4.2% in 2026. Their previous set of forecasts came in April and pinned both years at 4.0% growth.

2025年9月，中国外汇储备从8月的3.322万亿美元增加到3.339万亿美元，增加了165亿美元，即0.50%。这是连续第二个月上涨，创下2015年11月以来的最高水平。这一增长是由于美元兑其他主要货币走弱。上个月，人民币兑美元升值约0.1%，而美元兑一篮子其他主要货币下跌0.04%。截至9月底，黄金储备为7406万金衡盎司，高于8月底的7402万盎司，央行连续第11个月购买贵金属。因此，黄金储备从上个月的2540亿美元增加到2830亿美元。

China’s foreign exchange reserves rose by USD 16.5 billion, or 0.50%, to USD 3.339 trillion in September 2025, up from USD 3.322 trillion in August. It was the second straight month of increase, marking the highest level since November 2015. The increase came as the dollar weakened against other major currencies. The yuan strengthened about 0.1% against the dollar last month, while the dollar lost 0.04% against a basket of other major currencies. Gold reserves stood at 74.06 million fine troy ounces at the end of September, up from 74.02 million ounces at the end of August, with the central bank purchasing the precious metal for the eleventh consecutive month. As a result, gold reserves increased to an equivalent of USD 283 billion, up from USD 254 billion in the previous month.

人民币兑美元汇率触及7.15，为2025年9月以来的最低水平。在过去的4周里，美元兑人民币上涨了0.35%，在过去的12个月里，人民币上涨了1.14%。

The Chinese Yuan touched 7.15 against the USD, the lowest since September 2025. Over the past 4 weeks, US Dollar Chinese Yuan gained 0.35%, and in the last 12 months, it increased 1.14%.

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The offshore yuan edged lower to around 7.14 per dollar on Monday, as thin trading during China’s Golden Week holiday kept market activity subdued. The yuan, however, maintained a negative bias, extending modest losses from the previous session amid a firmer US dollar. The greenback strengthened as markets assessed the impact of the ongoing US government shutdown, following another round of failed negotiations by lawmakers to pass a funding bill. Meanwhile, on the latest trade updates, China has offered a potential $1?trillion investment package to the US to ease restrictions and lower tariffs on inputs for planned factories. On the US side, President Trump recently indicated that he intends to urge Chinese President Xi Jinping to boost US soybean imports during their upcoming meeting, as American farmers continue to feel the impact of trade disputes. He plans to meet Xi on the sidelines of the APEC summit in South Korea at the end of October and also plans to visit China next year.