牙买加股票指数 (JSE) 加自选

牙买加银行决定在202g年2月将其货币政策利率维持在6%，重点是确保通货膨胀率保持在目标范围内，同时支持经济增长。日本央行承认通胀趋势有所改善，但强调了大宗商品价格波动和全球经济因素等外部风险。它仍然致力于监测通货膨胀的发展，并在必要时进行政策调整，以确保持续稳定。央行的谨慎立场反映了其在通胀控制与整体经济稳定之间取得平衡的努力。

The Bank of Jamaica decided to maintain its monetary policy rate at 6% in February 202g, focusing on ensuring inflation stays within target while supporting economic growth. The BOJ acknowledged improved inflation trends, yet highlighted external risks such as commodity price volatility and global economic factors. It remains committed to monitoring inflation developments and making policy adjustments as necessary to ensure continued stability. The central bank's cautious stance reflects its effort to balance inflation control with overall economic stability.

与2023年同期相比，牙买加经济在2024年第三季度下降了3.5%。这是自2021年3月以来最大的收缩，服务业和商品生产业都导致了经济衰退。服务业收缩2.2%，而商品生产行业则大幅下降7.2%。2024年7月飓风贝里尔的影响是一个主要因素，特别是对农业、林业和渔业以及采矿和采石业的影响。风暴对农作物造成了严重破坏，推迟了种植，扰乱了收割，同时一家重要的氧化铝生产厂也受到了严重影响。此外，牙买加公共服务公司的基础设施受损导致停电，减少了电力和水的消耗，对电力、供水和其他服务部门产生了负面影响。经季节性调整后，经济环比收缩1.7%，较之前0.7%的跌幅有所恶化。

The Jamaican economy saw a 3.5% decline in the third quarter of 2024 compared to the same period in 2023. It was the biggest contraction since March 2021, with both the Services and Goods Producing sectors contributing to the downturn. The Services sector contracted by 2.2%, while the Goods Producing Industries saw a steeper decline of 7.2%. The impact of Hurricane Beryl in July 2024 was a major factor, particularly affecting the Agriculture, Forestry & Fishing, and Mining & Quarrying industries. The storm caused extensive damage to crops, delayed planting, and disrupted harvesting, while a key alumina-producing plant was also heavily affected. In addition, infrastructure damage to the Jamaica Public Service Company led to power outages, reducing electricity and water consumption, which negatively impacted the Electricity, Water Supply, and Other Services sectors. On a seasonally adjusted basis, the economy contracted 1.7% quarter-on-quarter, worsening from a 0.7% decline previously.

牙买加银行在2024年12月将其货币政策利率下调25个基点至6%，延续了今年早些时候开始的宽松周期。这一决定是基于通胀保持在目标范围内，2024年11月整体通胀率降至4.3%。尽管恶劣天气等挑战影响了价格，但通货膨胀预计将保持稳定。该行承认存在风险，例如牙买加贸易伙伴的潜在政策变化，但仍致力于保持低通胀和稳定，同时监测未来经济状况的轨迹。

The Bank of Jamaica cut its monetary policy rate by 25 basis points to 6% in December 2024, continuing its easing cycle that began earlier in the year. This decision is based on inflation staying within the target range, with headline inflation declining to 4.3% in November 2024. Despite challenges such as adverse weather affecting prices, inflation is expected to remain stable. The Bank acknowledged risks, such as potential policy changes from Jamaica’s trading partners, but remains committed to keeping inflation low and stable while monitoring the trajectory of future economic conditions.

牙买加银行将货币政策利率下调25个基点至6.25%，这是自7月宽松周期开始以来连续第四次降息。这一决定是由通货膨胀状况的改善推动的，2024年10月，年度整体通货膨胀率降至4.9%，在世行4.0%至6.0%的目标范围内。核心通胀率稳定在4.5%，连续16个月低于6.0%。在国际价格下跌和主要贸易伙伴通货膨胀的支持下，预计未来两年通货膨胀将保持在目标范围内。然而，潜在的经济政策变化、地缘政治紧张局势和不利天气条件带来的风险依然存在。货币政策委员会重申其对外汇市场稳定的承诺，并表示未来的利率调整将根据即将公布的数据逐步进行。

The Bank of Jamaica reduced its monetary policy rate by 25 basis points to 6.25%, marking the fourth consecutive rate cut since the easing cycle began in July. This decision is driven by improved inflation conditions, with annual headline inflation falling to 4.9% in October 2024, within the Bank's target range of 4.0% to 6.0%. Core inflation remained steady at 4.5%, below 6.0% for the sixteenth consecutive month. Inflation is expected to remain within the target range over the next two years, supported by falling international prices and inflation in key trading partners. However, risks from potential economic policy changes, geopolitical tensions, and adverse weather conditions persist. The MPC reaffirmed its commitment to foreign exchange market stability and indicated that future interest rate adjustments will be gradual, based on incoming data.