活牛 (LiveCattle) 加自选

美联储的古尔斯比希望美国不要走向货币独立性受到质疑的地方。奥斯坦·古尔斯比告诉哥伦比亚广播公司的《国家事实》，有能力在没有政治干预的情况下实施货币政策的央行对其经济有更好的结果。

Fed's Goolsbee hopes US not moving to where monetary independence is questioned.Austan Goolsbee told CBS' "Fact the Nation" that central banks that have the ability to conduct monetary policy with no political tampering have better outcomes for their economies.

在纽约，道琼斯指数周四下跌527点，跌幅1.33%。沃尔玛（-0.27%）、联合健康（-0.26%）和旅行者公司（-0.09%）领跌。

In New York, the Dow Jones Index fell 527 points or 1.33 percent on Thursday. Leading the losses are Walmart (-0.27%), UnitedHealth (-0.26%) and Travelers Companies (-0.09%).

全球市场将继续对美国的贸易政策以及中国、欧盟、日本和东盟集团主要贸易伙伴的反动措施做出反应。在美国对达成贸易协议的承诺升级的威胁下，美国关税路径的不确定性继续推动所有资产类别的波动。与此同时，全球股市的财报季仍在继续，Alphabet、特斯拉、波音、英特尔、IBM、默克和宝洁将成为美国股市的头条新闻。SAP、法国巴黎银行、AON和赛诺菲在欧洲备受期待。在经济日历上，PMI预览数据将揭示主要经济体关税威胁的初步影响，美国、欧元区、日本、印度和澳大利亚正在等待结果。美国也将关注耐用品订单和现房销售，德国、法国和英国正在等待关键的信心指标，其次是后者的零售额。在货币政策方面，中国央行将维持中国的贷款优惠利率。

Global markets will remain reactive to trade policy from the United States and reactionary measures from China, the EU, Japan, and key trading partners in the ASEAN bloc. Uncertainty on the path of tariffs by the US amid threats of escalation against pledges to strike trade deals continue to drive volatility across all asset classes. Meanwhile, the earnings season for global stocks continues with Alphabet, Tesla, Boeing, Intel, IBM, Merck, and P&G to headline US events. SAP, BNP Paribas, AON, and Sanofi are awaited in Europe. On the economic calendar, flash PMI readings will unveil the initial impact of tariff threats across major economies with results awaited by the US, the Euro Area, Japan, India, and Australia. Durable goods orders and existing home sales will also be eyed in the US, and key confidence gauges are awaited in Germany, France, and the UK, followed by retail sales from the latter. On the monetary policy front, the PBoC is set to hold loan prime rates in China.

欧元/美元，美元/日元和澳元/美元预测–美元有点混合。耶稣受难日的交易当然有点清淡，但看起来美元似乎继续出现一些问题。此时，美元超卖，周末头条新闻令人担忧，这是特朗普时代的一个问题。

EUR/USD, USD/JPY and AUD/USD Forecast – US Dollar a Bit Mixed.Good Friday was of course a bit thin in trading, but it looks as if the US dollar continues to see some issues. At this point in time, the USD is oversold, and there is the concern about weekend headlines, a given in the Trump era.