澳大利亚10年期政府债券收益率微升至4.22%,投资者等待周四公布的关键本地就业数据,这些数据可能会影响储备银行的利率前景。市场目前认为,在本月的澳大利亚储备银行会议上降息的可能性只有20%,而在一系列可靠的国内数据之后,对11月加息的预期(几周前几乎可以肯定)已降至70%左右。与此同时,助理行长Sarah Hunter周二表示,澳大利亚储备银行“非常接近”将通胀率恢复到其2-3%目标的中点,并补充说,央行正在密切关注消费需求的潜在强度,因为它试图使经济尽可能接近充分就业。在全球方面,人们的注意力转向了美联储在当天晚些时候政策会议结束时的政策决定,人们普遍预计美联储将降息25个基点。
Australia’s 10-year government bond yield inched up to 4.22%, as investors awaited key local jobs data due on Thursday that could shape the Reserve Bank’s interest rate outlook. Markets currently assign only a 20% chance of a rate cut at the RBA’s meeting this month, while expectations for a November move—which was almost certain just weeks ago—have been pared back to around 70%, following a run of solid domestic data. Meanwhile, Assistant Governor Sarah Hunter said on Tuesday the RBA is “pretty close” to bringing inflation back to the midpoint of its 2-3% target, adding that the central bank is closely watching the underlying strength of consumer demand as it seeks to keep the economy near to full employment as possible. On the global front, attention turns to the US Federal Reserve's policy decision at the end of its policy meeting later in the day, where it is widely expected to cut rates by 25bps.