WTI原油 (WestTexasOil) 加自选

在纽约，道琼斯指数周五下跌770点，跌幅1.79%。舍温-威廉姆斯（-5.66%）、维萨（-4.94%）和耐克（-3.74%）领跌。

In New York, the Dow Jones Index dropped 770 points or 1.79 percent on Friday. Losses were led by Sherwin-Williams (-5.66%), Visa (-4.94%) and Nike (-3.74%).

美国股市周五大幅下跌，因伊朗谴责以色列的空袭是“宣战”，并在当地时间周五晚些时候以导弹袭击作为回应，风险偏好减弱。此次袭击针对的是伊朗的核设施和军事设施，这大大加剧了地缘政治紧张局势，扰乱了全球市场。标准普尔500指数和纳斯达克指数分别下跌1.1%和1.3%，道琼斯指数下跌769点。金融和科技股领跌，英伟达下跌2.1%，苹果下跌1.4%，Visa和万事达卡下跌超过4%。航空股也下跌，美国航空、达美航空和联合航空股价下跌4.5%至5%。与此同时，能源和国防股表现优异，因供应担忧油价飙升近7%；埃克森美孚上涨2%，洛克希德·马丁公司、RTX和诺斯罗普·格鲁曼公司上涨超过3%。本周，标准普尔500指数上涨0.5%，而道琼斯指数和纳斯达克指数将分别下跌1.5%和0.8%。

US stocks closed sharply lower on Friday as risk appetite faded after Iran denounced Israel’s airstrikes as a “declaration of war” and responded with missile attacks late Friday local time. The strikes targeted Iran’s nuclear and military facilities, significantly escalating geopolitical tensions and unsettling global markets. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq dropped 1.1% and 1.3% respectively, while the Dow Jones tumbled 769 points. Financials and tech led the losses, with Nvidia down 2.1%, Apple off 1.4%, and Visa and Mastercard sliding over 4%. Airline stocks also sank, with American, Delta, and United down between 4.5% and 5%. Meanwhile, energy and defense shares outperformed as oil prices surged nearly 7% on supply concerns; Exxon rose 2%, and Lockheed Martin, RTX, and Northrop Grumman climbed more than 3%. On the week, the S&P 500 is up 0.5%, while the Dow and Nasdaq are set to lose 1.5% and 0.8%, respectively.

联邦公开市场委员会前美元价格行动设置：欧元/美元，美元/日元。本周，美元跌至三年来的新低，欧元/美元也突破了这一纪录。现在最大的问题是，美联储是否为下半年降息奠定了基础。

Pre-FOMC U.S. Dollar Price Action Setups: EUR/USD, USD/JPY.The US Dollar broke down to a fresh three-year low this week, and EUR/USD broke out. The big question now is whether the Fed lays the groundwork for rate cuts in the second-half of the year.

以色列袭击伊朗核设施后，下周中东地缘政治紧张局势将继续成为焦点，这加剧了人们对更广泛地区冲突的担忧。市场也将密切关注美国与其主要伙伴之间贸易谈判的任何进展。与此同时，人们的注意力转向了在加拿大举行的七国集团峰会，世界最大经济体的领导人将在会上讨论重大的全球挑战。这也是货币政策决策的繁忙一周。预计美联储、中国人民银行、日本银行和英格兰银行都将保持利率不变。瑞士、瑞典、挪威、土耳其、巴西、印度尼西亚、菲律宾和台湾的央行也将做出决定。在数据方面，主要发布的数据包括美国零售额和工业生产、英国通胀、德国ZEW经济景气指数、中国工业生产和零售额以及日本贸易数据。

Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East will remain in focus next week following Israel’s strike on Iran’s nuclear facilities, heightening fears of a broader regional conflict. Markets will also be closely watching any progress on trade negotiations between the US and its key partners. Meanwhile, attention shifts to the G7 Summit in Canada, where leaders of the world’s largest economies will meet to discuss major global challenges. It’s also a busy week for monetary policy decisions. The Federal Reserve, People’s Bank of China, Bank of Japan, and Bank of England are all expected to keep interest rates unchanged. Decisions are also due from central banks in Switzerland, Sweden, Norway, Turkey, Brazil, Indonesia, the Philippines, and Taiwan. On the data front, key releases include US retail sales and industrial production, UK inflation, Germany’s ZEW economic sentiment index, China’s industrial production and retail sales, and Japan’s trade data.