美国大豆 (Soybeans) 加自选

周一，美国10年期国债收益率在4.1%左右几乎没有变化，此前该收益率在早盘上涨了近50个基点，交易员对结束政府停摆的进展表示欢迎。在昨天的程序性投票中，参议院推进了重新开放政府协议的第一阶段，获得了所需的最低60票。八名民主党参议员与党的领导层决裂，放弃了他们对保证延长奥巴马医改补贴的关键要求。该协议将为农业部、退伍军人事务部和国会以及其他几个机构提供资金，直至1月30日。然而，它排除了民主党的一个核心优先事项，即扩大《平价医疗法案》的税收抵免。该提案仍需参议院辩论和通过，并由众议院批准，众议院的通过仍不确定。与此同时，交易员预计，下个月联邦基金利率下调25个基点的可能性约为67%，与周五持平。

The yield on the US 10-year Treasury note was little changed around 4.1% on Monday, after rising nearly 5bps earlier in the session, as traders welcomed progress toward ending the government shutdown. In a procedural vote yesterday, the Senate advanced the first stage of a deal to reopen the government, securing the minimum 60 votes required. Eight Democratic senators broke with party leadership, dropping their key demand for a guaranteed extension of Obamacare subsidies. The agreement would fund the Departments of Agriculture, Veterans Affairs, and Congress, along with several other agencies, through January 30. However, it excludes a central Democratic priority, the extension of enhanced Affordable Care Act tax credits. The proposal must still be debated and passed by the Senate and approved by the House, where its passage remains uncertain. Meanwhile, traders are pricing in roughly a 67% chance of a 25bps reduction in the fed funds rate next month, unchanged from Friday.