美国大豆 (Soybeans) 加自选

美联储将维持利率，因为加拿大零售销售在关税下显示出弹性。人们普遍预计，美联储将在周三再次放弃降息。自2024年下半年将联邦基金利率下调100个基点后，央行自12月以来一直处于暂停状态。

U.S. Fed to Holds Rates as Canada's Retail Sales Show Resilience amid Tariffs.The U.S. Federal Reserve is widely expected to forego an interest rate cut again on Wednesday. The central bank has been on pause since December after cutting the fed funds rate by 100 basis points in the second half of 2024.

在纽约，道琼斯指数周五下跌770点，跌幅1.79%。舍温-威廉姆斯（-5.66%）、维萨（-4.94%）和耐克（-3.74%）领跌。

In New York, the Dow Jones Index dropped 770 points or 1.79 percent on Friday. Losses were led by Sherwin-Williams (-5.66%), Visa (-4.94%) and Nike (-3.74%).

周五，Ibovespa指数小幅下跌0.2%，收于137500点附近，受以色列-伊朗紧张局势升级的压力，投资者情绪受到抑制。伊朗对以色列袭击其核设施和导弹设施进行报复后，全球市场下跌，引发了人们对更广泛冲突的担忧，并推动了对避险资产的需求。在美中潜在关税休战的最新消息公布之前，投资者也保持谨慎。在国内，焦点转向了金融交易税，因为众议院议长雨果·莫塔表示计划推动一项法令，暂停政府拟议的加息。在企业方面，油价飙升——在中东动荡期间上涨了7%——使巴西国家石油公司的股价上涨了2.5%。与此同时，风险敏感股下跌，淡水河谷下跌1.1%，路易莎杂志下跌6.6%，Bradesco下跌0.7%。巴西航空工业公司股价下跌3.1%，此前一架波音飞机在印度坠毁，造成290人死亡。

The Ibovespa index edged down 0.2% to close near 137,500 on Friday, pressured by escalating Israel-Iran tensions that dampened investor sentiment. Global markets retreated after Iran retaliated against Israel’s strikes on its nuclear and missile facilities, stoking fears of a wider conflict and driving demand for safe-haven assets. Investors also remained cautious ahead of updates on a potential US-China tariff truce. Domestically, focus shifted to the financial transactions tax, as House Speaker Hugo Motta signaled plans to push for a decree suspending the government’s proposed rate hike. On the corporate front, surging oil prices—up 7% amid Middle East unrest—boosted Petrobras shares by 2.5%. Meanwhile, risk-sensitive stocks declined, with Vale down 1.1%, Magazine Luiza falling 6.6%, and Bradesco slipping 0.7%. Embraer dropped 3.1% following a deadly Boeing plane crash in India that claimed 290 lives.

周五，标准普尔/多伦多证交所综合指数下跌0.4%，收于26504点，从周四的历史高点回落，原因是以色列-伊朗紧张局势升级，促使投资者转向避险资产。此前，伊朗对以色列袭击其核设施和导弹设施进行了报复，据报道发射了100多枚导弹，引发了人们对更广泛冲突的担忧，并推动了黄金和原油价格的上涨。原油价格飙升7%，提振了加拿大自然资源（+2.7%）、森科尔（+4.3%）和帝国石油（+3.4%）等能源股。由于地缘政治风险加剧，金价也上涨了1%，提振了Agnico Eagle（+1.9%）和Barrick Gold（+2.8%）。尽管周五有所下跌，但该指数连续第三周上涨，上涨0.6%，这得益于对即将召开的七国集团峰会前可能达成的加拿大-美国贸易协议的乐观情绪。美国财政部长斯科特·贝森特证实，他将与唐纳德·特朗普总统一起出席在加拿大举行的峰会，并会见马克·卡尼总理。

The S&P/TSX Composite Index fell 0.4% to close at 26,504 on Friday, pulling back from Thursday’s record high as escalating Israel-Iran tensions drove a shift toward safe-haven assets. The decline followed Iran’s retaliation for Israel’s strikes on its nuclear and missile facilities, with over 100 missiles reportedly launched, stoking fears of a broader conflict and fueling gains in gold and crude oil prices. Crude surged 7%, lifting energy stocks such as Canadian Natural Resources (+2.7%), Suncor (+4.3%), and Imperial Oil (+3.4%). Gold prices also rose 1% amid heightened geopolitical risk, boosting Agnico Eagle (+1.9%) and Barrick Gold (+2.8%). Despite Friday’s dip, the index notched its third consecutive weekly gain, rising 0.6%, supported by optimism over a potential Canada-US trade deal ahead of the upcoming G7 summit. US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent confirmed he will attend the summit in Canada alongside President Donald Trump and meet with Prime Minister Mark Carney.