保加利亚SOFX指数 (SOFIX) 加自选

2024年12月，保加利亚的经常账户赤字为4.592亿欧元，而去年同期的盈余为3.454亿欧元。这一逆转主要是由于商品赤字的扩大，从2023年12月的5.547亿欧元增至7.24亿欧元。此外，初级收入赤字扩大到2.688亿欧元，而前一年为2.643亿欧元。另一方面，服务和二级收入的盈余都有所下降，服务盈余从5.97亿欧元缩小到4.489亿欧元，二级收入盈余从5.674亿欧元下降到8470万欧元。

Bulgaria posted a current account deficit of €459.2 million in December 2024, shifting from a surplus of €345.4 million in the same month of the previous year. This reversal was largely driven by an expansion in the deficit for goods, which grew to €724 million from €554.7 million in December 2023. Additionally, the primary income deficit widened to €268.8 million, compared to €264.3 million in the previous year. On the other hand, the surpluses for both services and secondary income saw a decline, with the service surplus narrowing to €448.9 million from €597 million, and the secondary income surplus falling to €84.7 million from €567.4 million.

初步估计显示，2024年第四季度，保加利亚经济同比增长3.1%，较上一季度的2.4%有所加速。这标志着自2022年第三季度以来最快的经济增长，这得益于最终消费的强劲增长（5.8%对4.8%）和固定投资的反弹（0.7%对-0.9%）。与此同时，净贸易对GDP产生了负面影响，出口下降了3.2%（对-0.6%），而进口增长了1.2%（对3%）。按季度计算，国内生产总值增长0.8%，与上一时期的修订数字保持一致。

The Bulgarian economy expanded by 3.1% year-on-year in the fourth quarter of 2024, accelerating from a 2.4% rise in the previous period, preliminary estimates showed. This marks the steepest economic growth since the third quarter of 2022, driven by a stronger rise in final consumption (5.8% vs 4.8%), and a rebound in fixed investments (0.7% vs -0.9%). Meanwhile, net trade contributed negatively to the GDP, as exports dropped 3.2% (vs -0.6%), while imports rose 1.2% (vs 3%).On a quarterly basis, the GDP grew 0.8%, maintaining the same pace as the revised figure from the prior period.

保加利亚的年通货膨胀率在2025年1月加速至3.7%的一年高点，高于上个月的2.2%。主要的上涨压力来自食品和非酒精饮料价格（12月份为4.4%对2.8%）以及住房和公用事业价格（5%对2.8%）。酒精饮料和烟草（7.2%对6%）、健康（2.4%对1.8%）、娱乐和文化（5.3%对3.7%）、餐厅和酒店（9.5%对7.5%）以及杂项商品和服务（4%对3.4%）的价格也有所上涨。与此同时，运输成本反弹（3%对-0.6%）。按月计算，1月份消费者价格上涨2%，为2022年4月以来的最高水平，此前一个月上涨0.4%。

Bulgaria’s annual inflation rate accelerated to a one-year high of 3.7% in January 2025, up from 2.2% in the previous month. Main upward pressure came from prices of food & non-alcoholic beverage (4.4% vs 2.8% in December) and housing & utilities (5% vs 2.8%). Prices also increased for alcoholic beverages & tobacco (7.2% vs 6%), health (2.4% vs 1.8%), recreation & culture (5.3% vs 3.7%), restaurant & hotels (9.5% vs 7.5%), and miscellaneous goods & services (4% vs 3.4%). At the same time, transport costs rebounded (3% vs -0.6%). On a monthly basis, consumer prices climbed 2% in January, the highest since April 2022, following a 0.4% rise in the prior month.

2024年12月，保加利亚的工业生产同比下降3.9%，低于上个月下调后的2.4%的增长率。制造业（-1.2%对11月的3.2%）和电力、天然气、蒸汽和空调供应（-28.8%对11.7%）的产出均大幅下降。与此同时，采矿和采石业的产量反弹（8%对-5%）。经季节性调整的月度数据显示，12月工业产出下降1.6%，此前一段时间修正后下降0.4%。

Industrial production in Bulgaria dropped by 3.9% year-on-year in December 2024, slipping from a downwardly revised 2.4% rise in the previous month. Output tumbled both for manufacturing (-1.2% vs 3.2% in November) and electricity, gas, steam & air-conditioning supply (-28.8% vs 11.7%). Meanwhile, production rebounded for mining and quarrying (8% vs -5%). On a seasonally adjusted monthly basis, industrial output fell by 1.6% in December, following a revised 0.4% decline in the preceding period.