罗马尼亚布加勒斯特指数 (BET) 加自选

正如预期的那样，罗马尼亚国家银行在2025年2月将基准利率保持在6.5%，以保持价格稳定，并在全球问题和财政政策的不确定性下支持可持续增长。2024年12月，由于严重干旱和商品成本上涨导致燃料和食品价格上涨，年通货膨胀率上升至5.14%。第四季度调整后的核心通胀率保持在5.6%，受基数效应、食品价格上涨和工资上涨的混合影响。2024年通货膨胀总体下降，比2023年12月下降1.47个百分点。平均CPI通胀率从10.4%降至5.6%，HICP通胀率降至5.5%。2025年1月，通货膨胀率继续下降至4.95%。2024年第四季度经济增长加速，但贸易和经常账户赤字扩大。劳动力市场有所改善，失业率下降。

The National Bank of Romania kept its benchmark interest rate at 6.5% in February 2025, as expected, to maintain price stability and support sustainable growth amid uncertainties from global issues and fiscal policies. In December 2024, annual inflation rose to 5.14%, driven by higher fuel and food prices amid a severe drought and rising commodity costs. Adjusted core inflation remained at 5.6% in Q4, with mixed influences from base effects, food price hikes, and wage increases. Inflation decreased overall in 2024, dropping 1.47 percentage points from December 2023. The average CPI inflation rate fell to 5.6% from 10.4%, and the HICP inflation rate dropped to 5.5%. In January 2025, inflation continued to decline to 4.95%. Economic growth accelerated in Q4 2024, but trade and current account deficits widened. The labor market showed improvement with lower unemployment.

罗马尼亚的经常账户赤字从去年同期的172.1万欧元急剧扩大到2024年12月的293.6万欧元。服务账户盈余从一年前的108.0万欧元收窄至95.5万欧元，次级收入盈余从103.6万欧元收收窄至0.72万欧元。与此同时，主要收入缺口从45.9万欧元增加到65.8万欧元。与此同时，商品账户缺口从337.9万欧元小幅降至330.5万欧元。

Romania’s current account deficit widened sharply to EUR 2.936 million in December 2024 from EUR 1.721 million in the corresponding month of the previous year. The services account surplus narrowed to EUR 0.955 million from EUR 1.080 million a year earlier, as well as the secondary income surplus to EUR 0.072 million from EUR 1.036 million. At the same time, the primary income shortfall increased to EUR 0.658 million from EUR 0.459 million. Meanwhile, the goods account gap slightly decreased to EUR 3.305 million from EUR 3.379 million.

2024年12月，罗马尼亚的工业生产同比下降3.4%，与11月下调后的0.6%降幅相比进一步下滑。这标志着工业活动连续第六个时期下降，也是三个月来最大的收缩，因为所有行业都在继续萎缩。制造业（-2.9%对11月-0.3%）和电力、天然气、蒸汽和空调供应（-5.0%对-2.6%）的产出下降更为明显。与此同时，采矿和采石业的下降幅度较小（-1.3%对-3.3%）。2024年全年，工业生产比2023年下降1.7%。按月计算，12月产出下降1.2%，扭转了11月0.1%的修正涨幅。

Industrial production in Romania declined by 3.4% year-on-year in December 2024, slipping further from a downwardly revised 0.6% drop in November. This marked the sixth consecutive period of falling industrial activity and the steepest contraction in three months, as all sectors continued to shrank. Output decreased more sharply for manufacturing (-2.9% vs -0.3% in November), and electricity, gas, steam, and air-conditioning supply (-5.0% vs -2.6%). Meanwhile, mining and quarrying declined at lesser extent (-1.3% vs -3.3%). For the full year of 2024, industrial production was 1.7% lower compared to 2023. On a monthly basis, output declined 1.2% in December, reversing a revised 0.1% gain in November.

由于出口增长快于进口，罗马尼亚2024年12月的贸易逆差从去年同期的34.3亿欧元收窄至33.4亿欧元。出口同比增长7.1%，达到65.8亿欧元，这得益于对非欧盟国家（19%）和欧盟（2%）的销售强劲增长。与此同时，进口增长3.5%，达到99.2亿欧元，其中来自非欧盟国家（9.2%）和欧盟国家（1.3%）的采购量增加。2024年全年，由于出口下降（-0.4%）而进口增长（3.3%），贸易逆差从2023年的289.7亿欧元扩大到333.9亿欧元。

Romania's trade deficit narrowed to EUR 3.34 billion in December 2024 from EUR 3.43 billion in the same month of the previous year, as exports grew faster than imports. Exports climbed 7.1% year-on-year to EUR 6.58 billion, driven by strong growth in sales to non-EU countries (19%) and, to a lesser extent, to the EU (2%). Meanwhile, imports increased 3.5% to EUR 9.92 billion, with purchases rising from non-EU countries (9.2%) and EU countries (1.3%). For the full year of 2024, the trade gap widened to EUR 33.39 billion from EUR 28.97 billion in 2023, as exports fell (-0.4%) while imports grew (3.3%).