奥地利ATX指数 (ATX) 加自选

标普全球评级将奥地利的前景从“积极”上调至“稳定”，并确认其信用评级为“AA+/A-1+”，理由是财政和经济挑战。该评级机构表示：“奥地利经济已经陷入衰退两年多了，其增长前景仍然脆弱。2024年，由于私人消费疲软以及投资活动疲软，实际国内生产总值收缩了约1%，主要反映了建筑和制造业的疲软。”在经济风险上升的情况下，包括国际贸易流动带来的风险，预计今年国内生产总值将实际增长0.4%。预算赤字估计约占国内生产总值的4%，超过了之前的预期。该机构补充道：“尽管有一项雄心勃勃的预算整合计划，但我们预计赤字在2026年之前不会降至国内生产总值3%以下。”穆迪对奥地利的信用评级上一次定为Aa1，前景稳定。DBRS对奥地利的信贷评级为Aa1。最后一次报告为AAA，前景稳定。

S&P Global Ratings revised Austria’s outlook to "stable" from "positive" and affirmed the credit ratings at ‘AA+/A-1+’, citing fiscal and economic challenges. “Austria's economy has been in recession for over two years, and its growth outlook remains fragile. Real GDP contracted by about 1% in 2024 amid sluggish private consumption as well as weak investment activity, mainly mirroring the softened construction and manufacturing sectors," the rating agency said. The GDP is expected to grow at 0.4% in real terms this year amid elevated economic risks, including those from international trade flows. The budget deficit is estimated at around 4% of GDP, surpassing previous expectations. "Despite an ambitious budgetary consolidation program, we do not anticipate deficits declining below 3% of GDP before 2026," the agency added. Moody's credit rating for Austria was last set at Aa1 with a stable outlook. DBRS' credit rating for Austria was last reported at AAA with a stable outlook.

2024年12月，奥地利的工业生产同比萎缩9.6%，比上个月向上修正的4.5%的降幅进一步下滑。这标志着连续第十二个月出现收缩，也是该序列中跌幅最大的一个月。中间产品（-9.9%对-5.1%）、能源（-9.8%对-5.2%）、资本品（-14.1%对-4.6%）和耐用消费品（-17.9%对-15.5%）的产出大幅下降。与此同时，消费类非耐用品的产量反弹（2.1%对-0.9%）。经季节性调整的月度数据显示，12月工业产出下降2.9%，此前11月向上修正后下降1.8%。

Industrial production in Austria shrank by 9.6% year-on-year in December 2024, slipping further from an upwardly revised 4.5% drop in the previous month. This marked the twelfth consecutive month of contraction and the sharpest fall in the sequence. Output slumped for intermediate goods (-9.9% vs -5.1% in November), energy (-9.8% vs -5.2%), capital goods (-14.1% vs -4.6%), and consumer durables (-17.9% vs -15.5%). Meanwhile, production rebounded for consumer non-durables (2.1% vs -0.9%). On a seasonally adjusted monthly basis, industrial output declined by 2.9% in December, following an upwardly revised 1.8% decrease in November.

2025年1月，奥地利批发价格同比增长1.3%，而前一个月为0.9%。这标志着批发价格连续第二个月上涨，因为手表和珠宝（17.5%）、咖啡、茶、可可和香料（12.9%）以及非酒精饮料（11%）的成本上涨。此外，肉类和肉制品（7.4%）、书籍、杂志和报纸（6.1%）、乐器（6%）、糖、巧克力和糖糖果（5.7%）、文具（5.2%）和清洁材料（5.1%）的价格加速上涨。按月计算，批发价格从12月的0.1%上涨到2025年1月的1.5%，主要原因是其他液体和气体燃料及相关产品（8.4%）、水果和蔬菜（5.3%）、汽油（5.1%）和乐器（4.5%）的成本上涨。

Wholesale prices in Austria increased by 1.3% year-on-year in January 2025 from 0.9% in the previous month. This marked the second consecutive month of rising wholesale prices, as costs increased for watches and jewelry (17.5%), coffee, tea, cocoa, and spices (12.9%), and non-alcoholic beverages (11%). In addition, prices accelerated for meat and meat products (7.4%), books, magazines, and newspapers (6.1%), musical instruments (6%), sugar, chocolate and sugar confectionary (5.7%), stationary (5.2%), and cleaning materials (5.1%). On a monthly basis, wholesale prices climbed 1.5% in January 2025 from 0.1% in December, mainly due to higher costs for other liquid and gaseous fuels and related products (8.4%), fruit and vegetables (5.3%), motor spirit (5.1%), and musical instruments (4.5%).

2024年11月，奥地利的贸易逆差为1.9亿欧元，高于去年同期的19.4亿欧元顺差，原因是出口下降幅度大于进口。受化工产品（-40.5%）和机械及车辆（-9.7%）销售额下降的影响，出口同比暴跌14.7%，至163.2亿欧元。欧盟（-18.1%）和非欧盟国家（-6.6%）的出口下降。与此同时，进口下降3.9%，至165.1亿欧元，主要原因是化学产品（-11.8%）和燃料和能源（-21.7%）的采购减少。欧盟（-2.1%）和非欧盟国家（-7.1%）的进口均有所下降。考虑到1月至11月期间，该国的贸易顺差为30.6亿欧元，因为进口（-7.6%）的下降速度快于出口（-4.8%）。

Austria recorded a trade deficit of EUR 0.19 billion in November 2024, shifting from a EUR 1.94 billion surplus in the same month last year, as exports dropped more than imports. Year-on-year, exports plunged by 14.7% to EUR 16.32 billion, weighed down by lower sales for chemical products (-40.5%) and machinery and vehicles (-9.7%). Exports declined from the EU (-18.1%) and non-EU countries (-6.6%). Meanwhile, imports fell at a softer 3.9% to EUR 16.51 billion, primarily due to reduced purchases of chemical products (-11.8%) and fuels and energy (-21.7%). Imports decreased to both EU (-2.1%) and non-EU countries (-7.1%). Considering the January to November period, the country posted a trade surplus of EUR 3.06 billion, as imports (-7.6%) decreased faster than exports (-4.8%).