以色列央行在8月20日连续第13次会议将基准利率保持在4.5%不变,理由是在AmKalvi行动的剧烈但暂时的打击后,有迹象表明经济正在迅速复苏。第二季度,国内生产总值按年计算收缩了3.5%,尽管不包括运营影响的活动仍然是积极的,但低于趋势。7月份通货膨胀率降至3.1%,略高于央行1-3%的目标区间,预计未来几个月将有所回升。政策制定者指出了持续的地缘政治不确定性、供应限制和全球贸易疲软带来的风险。劳动力市场已基本恢复到运营前的状态,而谢克尔小幅走弱,财政赤字仍高达GDP的4.9%。以色列央行采取谨慎立场,在监测经济复苏、通货膨胀和地缘政治风险的同时保持利率稳定。
The Bank of Israel kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 4.5% for the 13th straight meeting on August 20, citing signs of a rapid recovery after the sharp but temporary hit from Operation Am Kalvi. GDP contracted 3.5% in annualized terms in the second quarter, though activity excluding the operation’s impact remained positive but below trend. Inflation eased to 3.1% in July, just above the central bank’s 1–3% target range, with expectations pointing to a return within bounds in the coming months. Policymakers flagged risks from persistent geopolitical uncertainty, supply constraints, and weak global trade. The labor market has largely returned to pre-operation conditions, while the shekel weakened modestly, and fiscal deficits remain elevated at 4.9% of GDP. The Bank of Israel adopts a cautious stance, keeping rates steady as it monitors economic recovery, inflation, and geopolitical risks.