2025年7月,印尼的年贷款增长率从6月的7.77%略微放缓至7.03%,为2022年3月以来的最低水平。经济放缓反映了购买力减弱、中产阶级萎缩以及银行在提供信贷方面更加谨慎。第三方基金同比增长7%,促使银行将更多资金投入证券,并收紧信贷分配标准。所有主要类别的贷款增长放缓:消费贷款增长8.11%,低于6月份的8.49%;投资贷款从12.53%降至12.42%;流动资金贷款增长率从4.45%降至3.08%。在需求方面,信贷增长主要受到出口导向型部门的支持,特别是采矿和种植园,以及运输、工业和社会服务部门。尽管最近经济放缓,印尼央行仍维持其预测,即2025年整体贷款增长将保持在8%至11%的范围内。
Annual loan growth in Indonesia eased slightly to 7.03% in July 2025, down from 7.77% in June, marking the slowest pace since March 2022. The slowdown reflects weakening purchasing power, a contracting middle class, and increased caution among banks in extending credit. Growth in third-party funds rose by 7% year-on-year, prompting banks to allocate more funds into securities and tighten credit distribution standards. Loan growth moderated across all major categories: consumption loans grew by 8.11%, down from 8.49% in June; investment loans slowed to 12.42% from 12.53%; and working capital loan growth eased to 3.08% from 4.45%. On the demand side, credit growth was largely supported by export-oriented sectors, particularly mining and plantations, as well as the transportation, industry, and social services sectors. Despite the recent deceleration, Bank Indonesia maintains its forecast that overall lending growth will remain within the 8% to 11% range for 2025.