纳斯达克100指数 (NASDAQ100) 加自选

美国CPI和PMI将引导市场度过停摆。延迟的美国9月CPI将于欧洲中部时间14:30发布。我们预测整体CPI将从2.9%降至3.1%，核心CPI通胀率将从3.1%降至3.1%。

US CPI and PMIs to Guide Markets Through Shutdown.The delayed US September CPI is set to be released at 14:30 CET. We forecast headline CPI at 3.1% y/y from 2.9% and core CPI inflation at 3.1% y/y from 3.1%.

唐纳德·特朗普总统周四宣布，美国将终止与加拿大的所有贸易谈判，并援引安大略省政府播出的一则有争议的广告。该广告刊登了前总统罗纳德·里根批评关税的编辑言论，特朗普和罗纳德·里根总统基金会声称这些言论未经许可使用，并歪曲了里根1987年的原始广播讲话。在Truth Social的一篇帖子中，特朗普指责加拿大使用“虚假”广告“干涉美国最高法院和其他法院的裁决”。他强调，“关税对美国的国家安全和经济非常重要”，并宣布“特此终止与加拿大的所有贸易谈判”

President Donald Trump announced Thursday that the U.S. is terminating all trade negotiations with Canada, citing a controversial ad aired by Ontario’s provincial government. The ad featured edited remarks from former President Ronald Reagan criticizing tariffs, which Trump and the Ronald Reagan Presidential Foundation claim were used without permission and misrepresented Reagan’s original 1987 radio address. In a Truth Social post, Trump accused Canada of using a “FAKE” ad to “interfere with the decision of the U.S. Supreme Court, and other courts.” He emphasized, “TARIFFS ARE VERY IMPORTANT TO THE NATIONAL SECURITY, AND ECONOMY, OF THE U.S.A,” and declared, “ALL TRADE NEGOTIATIONS WITH CANADA ARE HEREBY TERMINATED.”

周五，美国10年期国债收益率在上一交易日上涨约5个基点后保持在4%左右，因为投资者正在为一份可能影响经济和利率前景的关键通胀报告做准备。由于政府持续停摆，该报告被推迟，预计将显示持续的价格压力，但不太可能阻止美联储下周降息。然而，高于预期的读数可能会通过抑制对进一步宽松政策的预期来影响美联储12月的决定。在白宫确认下周在韩国举行特朗普-Xi会议后，交易员们也密切关注贸易发展，美国和中国官员计划周末在马来西亚举行预备会谈。

The US 10-year Treasury yield held around 4% on Friday after gaining about 5 basis points in the previous session, as investors braced for a crucial inflation report that could shape the outlook for the economy and interest rates. The report, delayed by the ongoing government shutdown, is expected to show persistent price pressures but is unlikely to stop the Federal Reserve from cutting rates next week. However, a stronger-than-expected reading could affect the Fed’s December decision by curbing expectations for additional easing. Traders also kept a close eye on trade developments after the White House confirmed the Trump-Xi meeting in South Korea next week, with US and Chinese officials scheduled to hold preparatory talks in Malaysia over the weekend.

国际货币基金组织警告称，美元走强将危及亚洲的韧性。国际货币基金组织一位高级官员警告称，如果迄今为止帮助扭转的支持性金融环境出现逆转，亚洲对美国关税的抵御能力将面临风险。

IMF warns Asia's resilience is at risk from a stronger US dollar.Asia's resilience to U.S. tariffs is at risk if the supportive financial conditions that have helped so far reverse, a senior IMF official warned.