2025年8月,阿根廷的经济活动同比增长2.4%,低于7月份向上修正的3.1%,也低于2.5%的增长预期。减速反映了几个行业的表现较弱,包括农业(-1.4%对7月份的1.2%)、制造业(-5.1%对-1.3%)、建筑业(1.5%对2.8%)、贸易(-1.7%对2.8%),房地产和商业服务(2.9%对4.1%)以及教育(1.1%对1.3%)。相比之下,酒店和餐馆的增长速度加快(6.4%对6.0%),交通和通信业有所回升(2.6%对0.9%),金融中介仍然是主要的积极贡献者(26.5%对23.3%)。公用事业继续收缩,但收缩程度略低(-1.6%对-2.1%),公共部门的小幅下降持续存在(-0.4%对-0.5%)。矿业仍在扩张,但速度较慢(9.3%对13.5%)。经季节性调整后,月度活动增长0.3%,而趋势周期下降0.1%。
Argentina’s economic activity grew 2.4% year-on-year in August 2025, slowing from an upwardly revised 3.1% in July and missing expectations of a 2.5% expansion. The deceleration reflected weaker performance across several sectors, including agriculture (-1.4% vs. 1.2% in July), manufacturing (-5.1% vs. -1.3%), construction (1.5% vs. 2.8%), trade (-1.7% vs. 2.8%), real estate and business services (2.9% vs. 4.1%) and education (1.1% vs. 1.3%). By contrast, hotels and restaurants accelerated (6.4% vs. 6.0%), transport and communications picked up (2.6% vs. 0.9%) and financial intermediation remained a major positive contributor (26.5% vs. 23.3%). Utilities continued to contract but slightly less so (-1.6% vs. -2.1%) and the public sector’s small decline persisted (-0.4% vs. -0.5%). Mining stayed in expansion but at a slower pace (9.3% vs. 13.5%). On a monthly, seasonally-adjusted basis, activity rose 0.3%, while the trend-cycle fell 0.1%.