Morgan Stanley (MS) 加自选

一周前：美元的调整可能会延长。美元在上周上半年下跌，对英镑G10货币的年度低点是对联邦公开市场委员会降息的初步反应。然而，鲍威尔主席的新闻发布会和经济预测摘要并不像降息和对劳动力市场恶化的担忧那样温和。

Week Ahead: Greenback's Correction can Extend.The US dollar fell through the first part of last week and lows for the year against sterling G10 currencies were set in the initial reaction to the rate cut by the FOMC. However, Chair Powell press conference and a look at the Summary of Economic Projections were not as dovish the rate cut and concerns about the deterioration of the labor market seemed to suggest.

天然气新闻：期货价格再次下跌——预测信号显示未来将出现更严重的回调。天然气期货连续第三个交易日下跌，库存攀升，天气降温，关键技术水平面临压力。看跌信号主导了今天的市场。

Natural Gas News: Futures Drop Again—Forecast Signals Deeper Pullback Ahead.Natural gas futures fall for a third session as inventories climb, weather cools, and key technical levels face pressure. Bearish signs dominate today's market.

石油新闻：技术和供应压力一致，深化看跌油价前景。原油跌破关键支撑位，因欧佩克供应和需求疲软证实了石油前景看跌。美联储降息未能提振原油期货。

Oil News: Technical and Supply Pressure Align to Deepen Bearish Oil Outlook.Crude oil slides below key support levels as OPEC supply and weak demand confirm a bearish oil outlook. Fed rate cuts fail to lift crude futures.

DXY价格分析：空头回补反弹50日均线报98.082。随着美联储发出降息放缓的信号，美元空头回补加速。DXY将目光投向50日均线和98.238回撤区。

DXY Price Analysis: Short Covering Rally Eyes 50-Day Moving Average at 98.082.Dollar short-covering accelerates as Fed signals slower cuts. DXY eyes 50-day MA and 98.238 retracement zone.