ConocoPhillips (COP) 加自选

天然气价格预测：看跌信号表明修正风险加大。随着天然气跌破50天均线，RSI仍然看跌，未来几天进一步下跌至3.69美元支撑区的可能性越来越大。

Natural Gas Price Forecast: Bearish Shift Signals Deeper Correction Risk.With natural gas falling below the 50-Day MA and RSI still bearish, further declines toward the $3.69 support zone appear increasingly likely in coming days.

哥伦比亚生产者价格指数从2月份的5.87%降至2025年3月的4.88%，标志着在连续13个月通货紧缩后连续第十次上涨。采矿和采石业的价格出现加速通缩（-7.25%对2月份的-1.46%），而农业、畜牧业、林业、狩猎和渔业的价格略有下降（15.35%对15.85%），制造业的价格略有上涨（4.50%对4.46%）。按月计算，生产者通胀率进一步下降，达到0.59%，而前一个月下降了0.46%。

Producer prices in Colombia eased to 4.88% year-on-year in March 2025, slowing from a 5.87% in February, marking the tenth consecutive increase after thirteen consecutive months of deflation. Prices showed accelerated deflation in mining and quarrying (-7.25% vs. -1.46% in February), while they declined marginally for agriculture, livestock, forestry, hunting and fishing (15.35% vs. 15.85%) and rose slightly for manufacturing (4.50% vs. 4.46%). On a monthly basis, producer inflation fell further, reaching 0.59%, compared with a 0.46% decline in the previous month.

周五，标准普尔/多伦多证交所综合指数下跌4.7%，收于23194点，在贸易争端加剧和国内经济挑战加剧的情况下，其抛售延续至数月低点。美国重新征收关税、汽车关税豁免的不确定性以及中国即将征收34%的报复性关税，引发了人们对经济衰退的担忧，并引发了广泛的市场抛售。这种加剧的风险规避促使原油价格急剧下跌至2021年8月以来的最低水平，这反过来又削弱了能源股。加拿大能源巨头遭受了巨大损失，加拿大自然石油公司下跌6.7%，森科尔公司下跌8.8%，帝国石油公司下跌6.7%，Cenovus暴跌11.9%。此外，Shopify（-5.6%）、Brookfield（-7.2%）和Wheaton Precious（-8.8%）等权重科技、金融和矿业股也出现大幅下跌。在经济方面，3月份失业率攀升至6.7%，导致32600人失业，进一步暴露了加拿大经济的脆弱性。

The S&P/TSX Composite Index tumbled 4.7% to close at 23,194 on Friday, extending its selloff to a multi-month low amid intensifying trade disputes and mounting domestic economic challenges. Renewed US tariffs, uncertainties over auto tariff exemptions, and China’s imminent 34% retaliatory levy have stoked recession fears and triggered a widespread market selloff. This heightened risk aversion precipitated a sharp decline in crude oil prices to their lowest levels since August 2021, which in turn undermined energy stocks. Canadian energy giants suffered steep losses, with Canadian Natural dropping 6.7%, Suncor falling 8.8%, Imperial Oil down 6.7%, and Cenovus plunging 11.9%. Moreover, heavyweight tech, financial, and mining equities such as Shopify (-5.6%), Brookfield (-7.2%), and Wheaton Precious (-8.8%) also recorded significant declines. Economically, 32,600 jobs were lost in March as unemployment climbed to 6.7%, further exposing vulnerabilities in the Canadian economy.

布伦特原油期货周五暴跌6.5%，收于每桶65.6美元，创下2021年8月以来的最低水平，此前一天下跌6.4%，因为人们对全球经济放缓和石油需求疲软的担忧加剧。投资者情绪越来越受到不断升级的贸易战的影响，尤其是中国即将对美国商品征收34%的关税。经济衰退风险和全球贸易的不确定性加剧了人们的不安。与此同时，欧佩克+加大了5月份日产量增加411000桶的计划，加剧了供应方面的压力。尽管美国对能源产品免征关税，但更广泛的贸易动荡继续给市场带来沉重压力。布伦特原油基准价格每周下跌近10%，为六个月来最大跌幅。

Brent crude oil futures plunged 6.5% to settle at $65.6 per barrel on Friday, marking the lowest level since August 2021, after a 6.4% drop the previous day, as fears mount over a global economic slowdown and weakening oil demand. Investor sentiment is increasingly rattled by the escalating trade war, especially with China’s impending 34% tariff on U.S. goods. Recession risks and uncertainty around global trade are adding to the unease. Meanwhile, OPEC+ has ramped up plans to boost output by 411,000 barrels per day in May, intensifying supply-side pressures. Despite U.S. tariff exemptions for energy products, the broader trade turmoil continues to weigh heavily on markets. The Brent benchmark booked nearly 10% weekly drop—its steepest in six months.