22:16:31
美国 United States
周五,美元指数保持在99.3,略低于周四的两个月高点99.56,并有望实现近2%的周涨幅,这是一年来最强劲的涨幅,这得益于法国和日本的政治不确定性,对欧元和日元造成了压力。投资者还消化了密歇根大学的初步消费者信心报告,该报告显示,10月份的士气变化不大,为55,略高于预期。当前个人财务和未来一年商业状况的增长被未来个人财务预期的减弱和当前耐用品购买条件的下降所抵消。美国政府关门预计将持续到下周,可能会推迟CPI和劳动力数据等关键经济数据的发布,这些数据可能会指导美联储的降息前景。市场目前预计,本月降息25个基点的可能性为95%,而12月加息的可能性已从90%降至80%。
The dollar index held at 99.3 on Friday, just below Thursday’s two-month high of 99.56, and is on track for a nearly 2% weekly gain, its strongest advance in a year, supported by political uncertainty in France and Japan that weighed on the euro and yen. Investors also digested the preliminary University of Michigan consumer sentiment report, which showed morale in October little-changed at 55, slightly above expectations. Gains in current personal finances and year-ahead business conditions were offset by weaker future personal finance expectations and a decline in current buying conditions for durables. The US government shutdown is expected to continue into next week, likely delaying key economic releases such as CPI and labor data, which could guide the Federal Reserve’s rate-cut outlook. Markets now price in a 95% chance of a quarter-point rate cut this month, while odds for a December move have eased to 80% from 90%.