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2025年4月，中国的调查失业率小幅降至5.1%，而市场预期和上个月的5.2%的数字都有所下降。这是自2024年12月以来的最低读数。本地注册劳动力失业率降至5.2%，而非本地注册劳动力的失业率较低，为4.8%。在这一群体中，农业登记的个人失业率更低，为4.7%。在31个主要城市中，城市调查失业率也为5.1%。与此同时，全国企业员工平均每周工作时间达到48.3小时。今年前四个月，全国城镇调查失业率平均为5.2%。

China’s surveyed unemployment rate edged down to 5.1% in April 2025, compared to both market expectations and the previous month’s figure of 5.2%. This marked the lowest reading since December 2024. The jobless rate among the locally registered labor force fell to 5.2%, while the rate for the non-locally registered labor force was lower at 4.8%. Within this group, individuals with agricultural registration saw an even lower jobless rate of 4.7%. Across 31 major cities, the urban surveyed unemployment rate also stood at 5.1%. Meanwhile, the average weekly working hours for employees in enterprises nationwide reached 48.3 hours. For the first four months of the year, the national urban surveyed unemployment rate averaged 5.2%.

2025年1月至4月，中国固定资产投资同比增长4%，低于市场预期的4.2%的增长率。基础设施投资增长5.8%，制造业投资增长8.8%。然而，房地产投资继续下降，下降了10.3%。按行业划分，第一产业投资增长13.2%，第二产业增长11.7%，第三产业小幅下降0.2%。除房地产行业外，今年前四个月固定资产投资增长了8%。固定资产投资环比增长0.10%。

China’s fixed-asset investment rose by 4% year-on-year in the January–April 2025 period, less than market expectations of a 4.2% growth. Infrastructure investment grew by 5.8%, while manufacturing investment rose by 8.8%. However, real estate investment continued to decline, dropping 10.3%. By industry, investment in the primary industry increased by 13.2%, the secondary industry grew by 11.7%, while the tertiary industry edged down by 0.2%. Excluding the property sector, fixed-asset investment expanded by 8% in the first four months of the year. On a monthly basis, fixed-asset investment was up by 0.10%.

周一，澳元上涨至0.642美元左右，因投资者等待澳大利亚储备银行的政策决定，减少了最近几个交易日的损失。人们普遍预计，澳大利亚储备银行将于周二将基准利率下调25个基点，从而恢复其宽松周期。然而，上周强于预期的劳动力市场数据降低了进一步降息的预期。最近美中贸易冲突的缓和也降低了央行采取更激进政策回应的可能性。因此，市场现在预计到年底将降息75个基点，低于几周前预测的100个基点。与此同时，4月份中国零售销售的放缓凸显了消费者需求的持续疲软，引发了人们对澳大利亚最大贸易伙伴的担忧，并预示着出口业绩的潜在风险。然而，工业产出强于预期和失业率下降在一定程度上缓解了这些担忧。

The Australian dollar rose to around $0.642 on Monday, paring losses from recent sessions as investors awaited the Reserve Bank of Australia’s policy decision. The RBA is widely expected to resume its easing cycle by cutting the benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points on Tuesday. However, stronger-than-expected labor market data last week has tempered expectations for further rate cuts. The recent easing of the US-China trade conflict has also reduced the likelihood of a more aggressive policy response from the central bank. As a result, markets now anticipate 75 basis points of cuts by year-end, down from 100 basis points projected just weeks ago. Meanwhile, April’s slowdown in Chinese retail sales highlights ongoing weakness in consumer demand, raising concerns for Australia’s largest trading partner and signaling potential risks to export performance. However, these worries were eased somewhat by stronger-than-expected industrial output and easing jobless rates.

WTI维持在61.70美元左右的温和盘中跌幅，在中国数据喜忧参半后几乎没有变动。西德克萨斯中质原油（WTI）美国原油价格难以利用周五的上涨，并在新的一周开始时吸引新的卖家。然而，该商品从亚洲盘中低点小幅回升，目前交易价格在61.70-61.65美元左右，当天仍下跌近0.40%。

WTI sticks to modest intraday losses around $61.70, moves little after mixed Chinese data.West Texas Intermediate (WTI) US Crude Oil prices struggle to capitalize on Friday's move higher and attract fresh sellers at the start of a new week. The commodity, however, recovers slightly from the Asian session low and currently trades around the $61.70-$61.65 region, still down nearly 0.40% for the day.