8月下旬,新加坡10年期政府债券收益率降至1.87%左右,为2022年3月以来的最低水平,此前美国货币政策的温和转变导致全球收益率下降。上周,美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔强调了劳动力市场不断上升的下行风险,为未来降息敞开了大门。在国内,新加坡的年通胀率从6月份的0.8%降至7月份的0.6%,低于市场预期的0.7%和2021年1月以来的最低水平,这增加了新加坡金融管理局采取更宽松立场的空间。新加坡金融管理局在7月保持政策不变,维持新加坡元NEER区间的斜率和宽度,同时对美国潜在关税的风险发出警告。与此同时,最近SGS拍卖的强劲需求和新加坡稳健的财政状况提振了投资者的兴趣,使借贷成本保持稳定,并延续了自2024年底以来持续的收益率下降趋势。
Singapore’s 10-year government bond yield fell to around 1.87% in late August, its lowest level since March 2022, after a dovish shift in US monetary policy pulled global yields lower. Last week, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell highlighted rising downside risks to the labor market, keeping the door open for future rate cuts. Domestically, Singapore’s annual inflation rate eased to 0.6% in July from 0.8% in June, below market expectations of 0.7% and the lowest since January 2021, increasing the scope for a more accommodative stance by the Monetary Authority of Singapore. The MAS left policy unchanged in July, maintaining the slope and width of the Singapore dollar NEER band while cautioning about risks from potential US tariffs. Meanwhile, strong demand at recent SGS auctions and Singapore’s solid fiscal position boosted investor appetite, keeping borrowing costs anchored and extending the downward trend in yields that has persisted since late 2024.