白银 (Silver) 加自选

原油–2025年12月10日。油价设法突破59.00的第一阻力位，因为价格仍面临60.10左右的下行阻力。正如我们在图表上看到的，只要市场保持在上述水平以下，市场可能会再次下跌至57.60-80。

Crude Oil –10.12.2025.  Oil managed to pass above the first resistance of 59.00 as prices still face a downtrend resistance around 60.10. As we see over the chart and as long as the market holds below the above levels, another drop toward 57.60-80 could hit the market.

市场仍领先于美联储；特朗普的主席搜索增加了趣味性。外汇市场在亚洲交易时段表现低迷，反映了地区股市的平静基调。距离重大事件风险仅剩数小时，交易员们几乎没有调整头寸的意愿，而是选择等待今晚备受瞩目的联邦公开市场委员会利率决定。

Markets Stand Still Ahead of Fed; Trump's Chair Search Adds Intrigue.The forex market was subdued through Asian session, mirroring the quiet tone in regional equities. With a major event risk just hours away, traders showed little appetite to adjust positioning, opting instead to wait for tonight's high-profile FOMC rate decision.

尽管货币政策委员会存在高度分歧，美联储仍将继续进行另一次预防性降息。。周一欧洲央行施纳贝尔推动的欧洲货币联盟收益率反弹昨日遭遇阻力。投资者在某种程度上接受了她的信息，即在一段时间的利率稳定之后，欧洲央行的下一步举措可能是加息。

Fed to Proceed With Another Precautionary Rate Cut Despite Highly Divided MPC..Monday's ECB Schnabel driven rally in EMU yields ran into resistance yesterday. Investors in some way embraced her message that the next ECB move, after a period of rate stability, will likely be a rate hike.

美联储预测：如果3月降息的可能性今晚下降，圣诞老人的反弹就结束了。联邦公开市场委员会的利率决定是今天会议的核心，市场完全相信美联储将降息25个基点至3.50-3.75%。其他任何事情的可能性实际上为零，政策制定者几乎没有动力在周期的这个阶段挑战预期，冒着扰乱情绪的风险。

Fed Preview: If March cut odds fall tonight, Santa rally is done.FOMC rate decision is the clear centerpiece of today's sessions, with markets fully convinced the Fed will deliver a 25bps cut to 3.50–3.75%. The probability of anything else is effectively zero, and policymakers have little incentive to risk unsettling sentiment by defying expectations at this stage of the cycle.