加元兑美元汇率徘徊在1.42左右,停止了从1月31日1.455的22年低点反弹,因为投资者正在筛选各种经济信号。1月份零售额下降0.4%,为七个月来首次下降,这表明在12月强劲增长后,消费者支出放缓,引发了对国内增长势头的担忧。此外,美国针对加拿大大部分出口产品的关税威胁的持续不确定性抑制了加元的需求前景。相反,强劲的通胀压力凸显了中国银行在平衡增长和控制价格方面的挑战,工业生产者价格飙升1.6%,原材料价格指数环比上涨3.7%,降低了加拿大银行进一步放松的预期。与此同时,在特朗普总统不那么激进的关税立场的推动下,美元普遍疲软,缓解了通胀担忧,并提振了对美联储可能降息的预期。
The Canadian dollar hovered around 1.42 per USD, halting its rebound from a 22-year low of 1.455 on January 31, as investors sifted through a mix of economic signals. A 0.4% decline in January retail sales, the first drop in seven months, suggested a slowdown in consumer spending following December's robust surge, raising concerns about domestic momentum. Additionally, ongoing uncertainty over U.S. tariff threats targeting a significant portion of Canadian exports, has dampened the loonie's demand outlook. Conversely, strong inflationary pressures highlighted the BoC's challenge in balancing growth and controlling prices, with industrial producer prices surging 1.6% and the Raw Materials Price Index jumping 3.7% month-over-month, reducing expectations for further Bank of Canada easing. Meanwhile, broad U.S. dollar weakness, fueled by President Trump’s less aggressive tariff stance, has alleviated inflation fears and bolstered expectations for potential Fed rate cuts.