天然气 (Naturalgas) 加自选

美元指数价格预测：展望仍看跌98.50以下。美元指数（DXY）是衡量美元（USD）对一篮子六种世界货币价值的指数，反弹至98.25附近，结束了周五欧洲早盘连续两天的下跌。中东地缘政治紧张局势加剧之际的避险情绪为美元提供了一定的支撑。

US Dollar Index Price Forecast: Outlook remains bearish below 98.50.The US Dollar Index (DXY), an index of the value of the US Dollar (USD) measured against a basket of six world currencies, rebounds to near 98.25, snapping the two-day losing streak during the early European session on Friday. The risk-off mood amid rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East provides some support to the US Dollar (USD) broadly.

周五，美国10年期国债收益率降至4.34%左右，为五周来的最低水平，因为中东紧张局势急剧升级后，投资者纷纷涌向避险资产。此前，以色列对伊朗发动了先发制人的打击，针对核设施，并承诺继续行动，直到威胁消除。美国官员证实，美国没有参与或参与此次袭击，尽管这一事件扰乱了全球市场，并提振了对美国国债的需求。本周早些时候，在特朗普总统威胁要单方面征收关税以推进新的贸易协定后，由于美国贸易政策的不确定性日益增加，收益率已经面临下行压力。此外，低于预期的消费者和生产者通胀数据增强了人们对美联储今年进一步降息的预期。展望未来，市场关注即将发布的密歇根大学6月份消费者信心报告。

The yield on the US 10-year Treasury note dropped to around 4.34% on Friday, marking its lowest level in five weeks, as investors flocked to safe-haven assets following a sharp escalation in Middle East tensions. The decline came after Israel launched a preemptive strike on Iran, targeting nuclear facilities and pledging to continue operations until the threat is eliminated. US officials confirmed that the United States had no involvement or role in the attack, though the incident rattled global markets and boosted demand for Treasuries. Yields were already under downward pressure earlier in the week amid growing uncertainty over US trade policy, after President Trump threatened unilateral tariffs to push forward new trade agreements. In addition, softer-than-expected consumer and producer inflation data reinforced expectations for further rate cuts from the Fed this year. Looking ahead, markets are focused on the upcoming University of Michigan consumer sentiment report for June.

美元指数周五攀升至98点以上，从多年低点反弹，中东地缘政治紧张局势加剧，刺激了对安全资产的需求。此前，以色列对伊朗进行了先发制人的打击，针对德黑兰的核计划，并承诺在威胁消除之前继续开展行动。美国官员证实，美国没有参与或支持此次袭击。周四，美元跌至三年来的最低点，受到唐纳德·特朗普总统激进贸易立场日益增加的不确定性的压力，包括单方面关税的再次威胁。额外的下行压力来自低于预期的消费者和生产者通胀数据，这增强了人们对美联储今年进一步降息的预期。展望未来，投资者等待密歇根大学6月份的消费者信心报告，该报告可能会提供有关不断变化的关税政策如何影响家庭信心的见解。

The US dollar index climbed above 98 on Friday, rebounding from multi-year lows as escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East fueled demand for safe-haven assets. The move followed Israel’s preemptive strike on Iran, targeting Tehran’s nuclear program and pledging to continue the operation until the threat is removed. US officials confirmed there was no American involvement or support in the strike. The dollar had slumped to over three-year lows on Thursday, pressured by growing uncertainty surrounding President Donald Trump’s aggressive trade stance, including renewed threats of unilateral tariffs. Additional downward pressure came from softer-than-expected consumer and producer inflation data, which reinforced expectations for further interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve this year. Looking ahead, investors await the University of Michigan’s consumer sentiment report for June, which could offer insight into how evolving tariff policies are affecting household confidence.

周五，以色列在地区冲突严重升级的情况下对伊朗发动先发制人的打击后，与三大指数挂钩的期货均下跌了1%以上。以色列国防部长以色列·卡茨宣布进入特别紧急状态，警告称“预计不久的将来会对以色列国及其平民发动导弹和无人机袭击。”美国官员证实，美国没有参与或参与此次行动。在国内，投资者将注意力转向了即将发布的密歇根大学6月份消费者信心报告，该报告可能会提供有关家庭如何应对持续贸易不确定性的见解。本周早些时候，低于预期的消费者和生产者通胀数据增强了人们对美联储今年晚些时候进一步降息的预期。在企业新闻方面，豪华家具零售商RH公布强于预期的收益后，其股价在盘后交易中飙升20%。

Futures tied to the three major indexes all declined more than 1% on Friday after Israel launched a preemptive strike against Iran in a major escalation of the regional conflict. Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz declared a special state of emergency, warning that “a missile and drone attack against the State of Israel and its civilian population is expected in the immediate future.” US officials confirmed that the United States had no involvement or role in the operation. Back home, investors turned their attention to the upcoming University of Michigan consumer sentiment report for June, which may offer insight into how households are responding to ongoing trade uncertainty. Earlier this week, softer-than-expected consumer and producer inflation figures reinforced expectations for additional interest rate cuts by the Fed later this year. In corporate news, shares of RH surged 20% in after-hours trading after the luxury furniture retailer posted stronger-than-expected earnings.