羊毛 (Wool) 加自选

周二，澳元稳定在0.666美元左右，保持了十多个月来的最高水平，这得益于对澳大利亚储备银行进一步降息的预期减弱。市场现在认为，央行在9月份的会议上保持利率不变的可能性为86%。7月份强劲的贸易顺差、有弹性的第二季度GDP数据以及超过预期的7月份通胀数据提振了这种情绪。此外，9月份消费者通胀预期上升，表明国内需求持续，并引发了人们对通胀压力可能再次抬头的担忧。澳大利亚储备银行助理行长Sarah Hunter周二表示，央行“接近通胀目标”。她指出，经济风险大致平衡，并强调鉴于货币政策的延迟效应，需要采取前瞻性的政策方法。亨特还重申了澳大利亚储备银行对消费者支出的关注以及支持充分就业的承诺。

The Australian dollar steadied around $0.666 on Tuesday, maintaining its highest level in over ten months, supported by diminishing expectations of further interest rate cuts by the RBA. Markets are now pricing in an 86% probability that the central bank will keep rates unchanged at its September meeting. This sentiment has been bolstered by a strong trade surplus in July, resilient Q2 GDP figures, and July inflation data that exceeded forecasts. Additionally, consumer inflation expectations rose in September, signaling sustained domestic demand and raising concerns about a possible resurgence in inflationary pressures. RBA Assistant Governor Sarah Hunter stated on Tuesday that the central bank is “nearing its inflation target.” She noted that economic risks are broadly balanced and stressed the need for a forward-looking policy approach, given monetary policy’s delayed effects. Hunter also reaffirmed the RBA’s focus on consumer spending and commitment to supporting full employment.