立陶宛10年期国债 (Lithuania10Y) 加自选

2025年9月，立陶宛的零售额同比增长4.1%，较8月份下调后的6.3%有所缓解，这是四个月来最疲软的增长。汽车燃料销售在8月份没有增长后，9月份下降了3.3%，而非食品产品的销售增长从14.4%放缓至10.4%。这部分抵消了食品、饮料和烟草销售的反弹，在下降0.6%后上涨了1.1%，非专业商店的贸易在8月份下降0.1%后增长了0.7%。按月计算，9月份零售额下降1.1%，扭转了8月份向下修正的1.3%的增长，这是自1月份以来的首次下降。

Retail sales in Lithuania rose by 4.1% year-on-year in September 2025, easing from a downwardly revised 6.3% increase in August and marking the softest growth in four months. Automotive fuel sales fell by 3.3% in September after showing no growth in August, while sales growth for non-food products slowed to 10.4% from 14.4%. It partially offset the rebound in sales of food, beverages, and tobacco, which rose 1.1% after a 0.6% drop, and trade in non-specialized stores, which increased by 0.7% following a 0.1% fall in August. On a monthly basis, retail sales decreased by 1.1% in September, reversing a downwardly revised 1.3% gain in August and marking the first decline since January.

2025年9月，立陶宛的工业生产同比增长0.4%，从前一个月下调的2%的下降中反弹。这一回升主要是由于采矿和采石业（8月份为6.3%对-14.9%）和制造业（0.2%对-2.2%）的产出复苏。此外，供水、污水处理、废物管理和修复服务的产量下降幅度较小（-3.6%对-5.2%）。另一方面，电力、天然气、蒸汽和空调供应的活动增长放缓（4.6%对6.9%）。按月计算，9月份工业产出下降1.5%，扭转了前一时期向上修正的2.6%的增长。

Industrial production in Lithuania rose by 0.4% year-on-year in September 2025, rebounding from a downwardly revised 2% drop in the previous month. The upturn was mainly driven by recoveries in the output of both mining and quarrying (6.3% vs -14.9% in August) and manufacturing (0.2% vs -2.2%). Additionally, production declined at a lesser rate for water supply, sewerage, waste management and remediation services (-3.6% vs -5.2%). On the other hand, activity growth slowed for electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply (4.6% vs 6.9%). On a monthly basis, industrial output fell by 1.5% in September, reversing an upwardly revised 2.6% increase in the preceding period.

立陶宛的经常账户盈余从去年同期的36449万欧元大幅扩大到2025年8月的52215万欧元。这标志着自2024年9月以来的最高经常账户盈余，主要是由于服务账户盈余从一年前的7.1183亿欧元增加到9.1892亿欧元。与此同时，商品账户赤字从2.9726亿欧元缩小到2.4626亿欧元，而次级收入上升到1.4027亿欧元，从19万欧元的赤字转变为盈余。与此同时，主要收入赤字从4989万欧元显著扩大到2.9078亿欧元。

Lithuania’s current account surplus widened significantly to EUR 522.15 million in August 2025 from EUR 364.49 million in the same month last year. This marked the highest current account surplus since September 2024, driven largely by an increase in the services account surplus to EUR 918.92 million from EUR 711.83 million a year earlier. At the same time, the goods account deficit narrowed to EUR 246.26 million from EUR 297.26 million, while the secondary income rose to EUR 140.27 million, shifting from a deficit of EUR 0.19 million to a surplus. Meanwhile, the primary income deficit widened notably to EUR 290.78 million from EUR 49.89 million.

立陶宛的贸易逆差在2025年8月缩小至2.69亿欧元，这是自2024年9月以来的最小缺口，高于去年同期的3.5亿欧元，因为进口下降幅度大于出口。进口同比下降6.8%，至32.79亿欧元，主要原因是矿物燃料、矿物油及其蒸馏产品（-23.1%）和地面车辆（-14.7%）的采购量减少。在贸易伙伴中，来自波兰（13.8%）、德国（12.8%）和拉脱维亚（8.3%）的进口有所增加。与此同时，出口萎缩4.9%，至30.10亿欧元，主要原因是塑料及其制品（-17.5%）和地面车辆（-16.8%）的销售额下降。最大的出口目的地是拉脱维亚（12.4%）、波兰（10.4%）和德国（9.1%）。考虑到1月至8月期间，该国出现了43.92亿欧元的缺口，出口下降了1.2%，进口增长了4.5%。

Lithuania’s trade deficit narrowed to EUR 0.269 billion in August 2025, marking the smallest shortfall since September 2024, from EUR 0.350 billion in the corresponding month of the previous year, as imports fell more than exports. Imports fell by 6.8% year-on-year to EUR 3.279 billion, primarily due to lower purchases of mineral fuels, mineral oils, and products of their distillation (-23.1%) and ground vehicles (-14.7%). Among trading partners, imports rose from Poland (13.8%), Germany (12.8%), and Latvia (8.3%). Meanwhile, exports contracted by 4.9% to EUR 3.010 billion, driven by decreased sales for plastics and articles thereof (-17.5%) and ground vehicles (-16.8%). The top export destinations were Latvia (12.4%), Poland (10.4%), and Germany (9.1%). Considering the January-August period, the country posted a EUR 4.392 billion shortfall, with exports dropping by 1.2%, while imports rose by 4.5%.