爱尔兰10年期国债 (Ireland10Y) 加自选

AIB爱尔兰服务业采购经理人指数在2025年4月降至52.8，低于3月份的三个月高点55.3。最新数据标志着自2024年1月以来服务业扩张最为疲软，人们对全球贸易紧张局势的经济影响日益担忧。总活动和新业务分别以15个月和18个月来最慢的速度增长。四个子行业中有三个子行业的商业活动增长更高，其中科技、媒体和电信行业领涨。就业率以八个月来第二快的速度增长，尽管与上个月相比有所放缓。关于价格，投入和产出成本通胀均降至五个月低点，运输、旅游和休闲的价格压力在最近一段时间明显缓解。最后，商业情绪恶化至2020年10月以来的最低水平，这与美国关税政策和金融市场波动的不确定性有关。

The AIB Ireland Services PMI declined to 52.8 in April 2025, down from March’s three-month high of 55.3. The latest reading marked the softest service sector expansion since January 2024, amid growing concern over the economic impact of global trade tensions. Total activity and new business increased at the slowest pace in 15 and 18 months, respectively. Three of the four sub-sectors posted higher growth in business activity, led by technology, media, and telecom. Employment increased at the second-fastest rate in eight months, although it softened compared to the previous month. Regarding prices, both input and output cost inflation eased to a five-month low, with transport, tourism, and leisure registering a notable easing in price pressures during the latest period. Lastly, business sentiment deteriorated to the weakest level since October 2020, linked to uncertainty over the fallout from US tariff policies and financial market volatility.

爱尔兰信用合作社消费者信心指数从3月份的67.5急剧降至2025年4月的58.7，连续第二个月跌至两年来的最低点。这一下降反映出人们越来越担心美国对欧盟征收关税的经济影响，这可能会对爱尔兰产生不成比例的影响。最近的研究警告说，到2032年，这些关税可能会使爱尔兰的国内生产总值减少1.8%。尽管焦虑情绪日益加剧，但由于许多家庭对经济改善抱有希望，消费者支出目前仍然相对有弹性。分析师指出，尽管支出模式可能会出现谨慎的转变，但预计不会反映出在普遍失业或收入损失期间通常会出现的大幅削减。

The Irish Credit Union Consumer Sentiment index fell sharply to 58.7 in April 2025 from 67.5 in March, tumbling for the second consecutive month to its lowest point in two years. The drop reflects growing concern over the economic impact of U.S. tariffs on the European Union, which could disproportionately affect Ireland. Recent research warns that these tariffs may reduce Ireland’s GDP by as much as 1.8% by 2032. Despite the mounting anxiety, consumer spending has remained relatively resilient for now, as many households hold out hope for economic improvement. Analysts note that while cautious shifts in spending patterns are likely, they are not expected to mirror the sharp cutbacks typically seen during periods of widespread job or income loss.

AIB爱尔兰制造业采购经理人指数从3月份的51.6升至2025年4月的53.0，标志着自2022年6月以来最强劲的扩张。这一增长主要是由于新订单增长进一步加速，达到了三年来的最高水平。同期，产出也出现了三年来最强劲的增长，这得益于需求条件的弹性，特别是国内市场，以及相对强劲的销售渠道。与此同时，由于美国需求疲软抵消了亚洲和欧洲客户支出的增加，外国销售额在上个月稳健扩张后下降。

The AIB Ireland Manufacturing PMI rose to 53.0 in April 2025 from 51.6 in March, marking the strongest expansion since June 2022. The increase was primarily driven by a further acceleration in new order growth, which reached its highest level in three years. During the same period, output also posted its strongest growth in three years, supported by resilient demand conditions, particularly in domestic markets, and relatively robust sales pipelines. Meanwhile, foreign sales declined following solid expansion in the previous month, as softer demand from the U.S. offset increased spending by clients in Asia and Europe.

爱尔兰经季节性调整的失业率从前一个月向上修正的4.4%降至2025年4月的4.1%。4月份，失业人数环比下降8400人，至119500人，女性失业人数降至57900人，男性失业人数降至61500人，分别从62800人和65000人下降。按年度计算，失业率从2024年4月的4.4%降至4.1%。与此同时，在25-74岁的人群中，4月份的失业率从上月的3.5%降至3%。

Ireland’s seasonally adjusted unemployment rate edged down to 4.1% in April 2025 from an upwardly revised 4.4% in the previous month. The number of unemployed people decreased by 8,400 month-on-month to 119,500 in April, with female unemployment falling to 57,900 and male unemployment dropping to 61,500, from 62,800 and 65,000 respectively. On an annual basis, the unemployment rate ticked lower to 4.1% from 4.4% in April 2024. Meanwhile, among individuals aged 25-74 years, the jobless rate dropped to 3% in April from 3.5% in the preceding month.