爱尔兰10年期国债 (Ireland10Y) 加自选

2025年9月，AIB爱尔兰服务业采购经理人指数从8月的19个月低点50.6升至53.5，这是四个月来的首次增长。这也标志着服务业自5月以来的最快扩张，因为产出和新业务都以四个月来的最快速度增长。就业人数也稳步增长，从8月份的失业中反弹。9月份，三个行业的活动有所增长。科技、媒体和电信行业的扩张速度最快，也是两年来最强劲的，而交通、旅游和休闲行业则连续第七个月出现下滑。在价格方面，由于工资、能源、运费、食品、燃料和差旅成本的上涨，投入成本通胀加速至六个月来的最高点。因此，销售价格以四个月来最快的速度上涨，并保持在长期平均水平之上。最后，情绪有所改善，尽管在全球经济和地缘政治持续存在不确定性的情况下，情绪仍低于长期调查趋势。

The AIB Ireland Services PMI rose to 53.5 in September 2025, up from August’s 19-month low of 50.6, marking the first increase in four months. It also signaled the fastest expansion in the services sector since May, as both output and new business grew at their quickest pace in four months. Employment also increased solidly, rebounding from job losses in August. Three sectors registered growth in activity during September. Technology, media & telecoms recorded the fastest expansion—and the strongest in two years, while the transport, tourism & leisure sector posted a seventh consecutive monthly decline. On prices, input cost inflation accelerated to a six-month high, driven by rising wages, energy, freight, food, fuel, and travel costs. As a result, selling prices rose at the fastest pace in four months and remained above the long-run average. Finally, sentiment improved, though it remained below the long-run survey trend amid continued global economic and geopolitical uncertainty.

2025年9月，爱尔兰经季节性调整的失业率稳定在4.7%，与8月持平。失业总人数环比下降400人，至138200人。按性别划分，男性失业率从4.9%降至4.8%，而女性失业率保持在4.5%。在各个年龄段中，15-24岁人群的失业率从8月份的修订后的12.1%小幅上升至12.2%，而25-74岁群体的失业率保持不变，为3.6%。

The seasonally adjusted unemployment rate in Ireland remained steady at 4.7% in September 2025, unchanged from August. The total number of unemployed fell by 400 month-on-month to 138,200. By gender, male unemployment edged down to 4.8% from 4.9%, while the female rate held at 4.5%. Among age groups, the unemployment rate for those aged 15-24 rose slightly to 12.2% from a revised 12.1% in August, whereas the rate for the 25-74 cohort remained unchanged at 3.6%.

2025年9月，AIB爱尔兰制造业采购经理人指数升至51.8，略高于8月份的五个月低点51.6。制造业表现的最新改善得益于新订单的快速增长和就业水平的再次稳健扩张。在购买活动增加的情况下，9月份投入品购买在上个月略有下降后反弹。由于海关延误和运输问题，供应商的交货时间连续第五个月延长，这是自1月以来的最大程度。在价格方面，由于原材料价格和劳动力成本上涨，投入成本通胀加速。然而，在竞争压力加剧的情况下，产出价格通胀有所缓解。最后，在对需求可能回升的乐观情绪的支撑下，商业情绪升至八个月高点。

The AIB Ireland Manufacturing PMI rose to 51.8 in September 2025, up slightly from August’s five-month low of 51.6. The latest improvement in manufacturing performance was supported by a quicker rise in new orders and another solid expansion in employment levels. Input buying rebounded in September, following a marginal decline in the previous month, amid higher purchasing activity. Suppliers' delivery times lengthened for the fifth consecutive month—and to the greatest extent since January—due to customs delays and transportation issues. On the price front, input cost inflation accelerated, driven by rising raw material prices and labour costs. However, output price inflation eased amid intensifying competitive pressures. Finally, business sentiment improved to an eight-month high, supported by optimism around a potential pickup in demand.

2025年8月，爱尔兰零售额环比下降0.1%，低于上月0.8%的增长。这是自去年4月以来零售活动的最大跌幅，主要是由于汽车行业（7月份为-3.6%对9.2%）、百货商店（-4.3%对0%）以及服装、鞋类和纺织品（-2.4%对1.6%）的销售额大幅下降。此外，药品、医疗和化妆品（0.3%对2.9%）以及五金、油漆和玻璃（0.3%对3%）的贸易增长有所放缓。另一方面，其他零售销售活动反弹（1.1%对-0.1%），而书籍、报纸和文具的下降幅度较小（-0.7%对-3.2%）。按年度计算，8月份零售额增长3.9%，低于前一时期4.2%的一年半高点。

Retail sales in Ireland fell by 0.1% month-over-month in August 2025, slipping from a 0.8% increase in the previous month. This marked the sharpest decline in retail activity since April last year, mainly due to sharp decreases in sales in motor trades (-3.6% vs 9.2% in July), department stores (-4.3% vs 0%), and clothing, footwear and textiles (-2.4% vs 1.6%). Additionally, trade growth softened for pharmaceuticals, medical & cosmetic articles (0.3% vs 2.9%) and hardware, paints and glass (0.3% vs 3%). On the other hand, activity rebounded for other retail sales (1.1% vs -0.1%), while dropped at a lesser extent for books, newspapers and stationery (-0.7% vs -3.2%). On an annual basis, retail sales rose by 3.9% in August, slowing from a one and a half-year high of 4.2% increase in the preceding period.