爱尔兰10年期国债 (Ireland10Y) 加自选

爱尔兰信用合作社消费者信心指数从6月份的62.5降至2025年7月的59.1，创下三个月来的新低，因为家庭越来越担心生活成本上涨以及关税对欧盟对美国出口的影响。与家庭财务和支出相关的调查组分下降幅度最大。分析人士将疲软归因于持续的通胀担忧和政府发出的信号，即即将到来的10月预算中可能会减少支持措施。贸易不确定性也发挥了作用，美国对欧盟出口征收30%关税的迫在眉睫的威胁抑制了市场情绪。尽管如此，人们仍然希望即将达成的美欧贸易协议能够帮助缓解这些担忧，据报道，该协议将对大多数商品征收15%的关税。尽管国内经济持续强劲，包括稳定的税收收入和持续的就业增长，但信心下降。

Ireland’s Credit Union Consumer Sentiment Index dropped to 59.1 in July 2025 from 62.5 in June, hitting a three-month low as households grew more concerned about the rising cost of living and the impact of tariffs on EU exports to the US. Survey components related to household finances and spending saw the steepest declines. Analysts attributed the weakness to persistent inflation concerns and signals from the government that fewer support measures may be included in the upcoming October budget. Trade uncertainty also played a role, with the looming threat of a 30% US tariff on EU exports dampening sentiment. Still, hopes remain that a pending US-EU trade deal, reportedly set to impose a reduced 15% tariff on most goods, could help ease those fears. This decline in confidence comes despite continued strength in the domestic economy, including solid tax revenues and ongoing job growth.

2025年6月，爱尔兰批发价格同比下降4.6%，较上月1.8%的跌幅有所加深。这标志着批发价格连续第五个月下降，也是该序列中下降幅度最大的一个月，因为食品成本放缓（5月份为4.2%对6.3%），特别是肉类和肉制品（6.4%对7.9%）。此外，纸张和纸制品的价格放缓（1.2%对2.4%），而采矿和采石（-3.7%对-2.6%）以及可运输货物（-4.6%对-1.8%）的价格进一步下跌。另一方面，机动车、拖车和半拖车的生产者通缩略有减弱（-0.6%对-0.7%）。按月计算，6月份批发价格下降了2%，扭转了前一时期0.8%的涨幅。

Wholesale prices in Ireland dropped by 4.6% year-on-year in June 2025, deepening from a 1.8% fall in the previous month. This marked the fifth consecutive month of decline in wholesale prices and the sharpest in the sequence, as costs moderated for food products (4.2% vs 6.3% in May), particularly meat and meat products (6.4% vs 7.9%). Additionally, prices slowed for paper and paper products (1.2% vs 2.4%), while it decreased further for mining and quarrying (-3.7% vs -2.6%) and transportable goods (-4.6% vs -1.8%). On the other hand, producer deflation slightly softened for motor vehicles, trailers and semi trailers (-0.6% vs -0.7%). On a monthly basis, wholesale prices went down by 2% in June, reversing a 0.8% increase in the preceding period.

2025年5月，爱尔兰住宅房地产价格同比上涨7.9%，高于上个月上调后的7.6%。全国房价从上月的7.9%上涨了8.0%，而公寓价格从4月份的6.3%上涨了7.0%。从地区来看，都柏林的房价上涨了6.9%，而4月份的涨幅为6.5%。首都以外的价格也有所上涨，从上月的8.6%小幅上涨了8.7%。按月计算，住宅房地产价格在4月份上涨0.5%后，5月份上涨0.6%，连续第三个月上涨。

Residential property prices in Ireland rose by 7.9% year-on-year in May 2025, accelerating from an upwardly revised 7.6% in the previous month. National house prices rose by 8.0% from 7.9% in the prior month, while apartment prices rose 7.0%, picking up from 6.3% in April. Regionally, property prices advanced 6.9% in Dublin, compared with a 6.5% gain in April. Prices outside the capital also strengthened, inching up 8.7% from 8.6% in the previous month. On a monthly basis, residential property prices climbed 0.6% in May, marking the third consecutive monthly gain, following a 0.5% rise in April.

爱尔兰的年通货膨胀率从上个月的1.7%微升至2025年6月的1.8%。这一上涨主要是由于食品和非酒精饮料（5月份为4.6%对4.0%）、娱乐和文化（3.5%对2.4%）以及通信（1.8%对1.1%）的价格上涨加快。然而，这些增长被餐馆和酒店（2.4%对2.8%）、住房和公用事业（1.9%对2.0%）以及杂项商品和服务（2.2%对2.4%）的通胀放缓以及服装和鞋类价格的大幅下跌（-2.3%对-1.9%）部分抵消。与此同时，核心通胀率（不包括能源和未加工食品）小幅上升至2.0%，但仍然相对较低。在5月份持平之后，6月份消费者价格指数环比上涨0.5%。

The annual inflation rate in Ireland edged up to 1.8% in June 2025 from 1.7% in the previous month. The uptick was mainly driven by faster price increases in food and non-alcoholic beverages (4.6% vs 4.0% in May), recreation and culture (3.5% vs 2.4%), and communications (1.8% vs 1.1%). However, these gains were partly offset by slower inflation in restaurants and hotels (2.4% vs 2.8%), housing and utilities (1.9% vs 2.0%), and miscellaneous goods and services (2.2% vs 2.4%), alongside a steeper decline in clothing and footwear prices (-2.3% vs -1.9%). Meanwhile, core inflation — excluding energy and unprocessed food — inched up to 2.0% but remained relatively subdued. On a monthly basis, consumer prices rose 0.5% in June, following a flat reading in May.