澳大利亚10年期国债 (Australia10Y) 加自选

欧元/美元、美元/日元和澳元/美元预测——美元在早盘交易中有点疲软。周二凌晨，美元继续出现大幅震荡。目前，市场仍在关注周三美联储会议的整体问题。

EUR/USD, USD/JPY and AUD/USD Forecast – US Dollar a Little Soft in Early Trading.The US dollar continues to see a lot of noise and chop in the early hours of Tuesday. At this point in time, the markets continue to look at the overall questions about the Federal Reserve meeting on Wednesday.

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The S&P/ASX 200 Index shed 0.08% to close at 8,151 on Tuesday, marking its second straight session of losses as global trade tensions and weak economic data weighed on sentiment. Trump stated he has no plans to speak with Xi Jinping this week, though he expressed openness to reducing the steep 145% tariff on Chinese goods. Trump also announced a 100% tariff on foreign-produced films and hinted at potential levies on pharmaceuticals within two weeks. Locally, sentiment was further dampened by disappointing Australian building permits data and signs of slowing growth in China’s services sector—both key indicators for Australia’s trade-reliant economy. Financials led the market lower, with steep declines in major banks including Westpac (-2.1%), NAB (-1.5%), and ANZ Group (-0.8%). Technology and mining stocks also came under pressure. In contrast, gold miners outperformed on stronger bullion prices, with Northern Star Resources climbing 4.2% and Evolution Mining surging 5.4%.

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The S&P/ASX 200 Index shed 0.08% to close at 8,151 on Tuesday, marking its second straight session of losses as global trade tensions and weak economic data weighed on sentiment. Trump stated he has no plans to speak with Xi Jinping this week, though he expressed openness to reducing the steep 145% tariff on Chinese goods. Trump also announced a 100% tariff on foreign-produced films and hinted at potential levies on pharmaceuticals within two weeks. Locally, sentiment was further dampened by disappointing Australian building permits data and signs of slowing growth in China’s services sector—both key indicators for Australia’s trade-reliant economy. Financials led the market lower, with steep declines in major banks including Westpac (-2.1%), NAB (-1.5%), and ANZ Group (-0.8%). Technology and mining stocks also came under pressure. In contrast, gold miners outperformed on stronger bullion prices, with Northern Star Resources climbing 4.2% and Evolution Mining surging 5.4%.

周二，澳元小幅下跌至0.645美元左右，从最近五个月的高点回落，因对美中贸易谈判的希望以及美联储政策决定前投资者的谨慎态度，美元走强。澳元还面临下行压力，来自低于预期的国内建筑许可数据和中国服务业增长放缓的迹象，中国服务业是澳大利亚出口的关键市场。在国内，总理安东尼·阿尔巴内塞周六连任后的政治稳定提供了一些保证，总理承诺建立一个“有纪律、有秩序”的政府，专注于缓解生活成本压力和管理全球贸易波动。在货币政策方面，市场普遍预计澳大利亚储备银行将在即将召开的5月会议上将基准利率下调25个基点至3.85%，因为政策制定者在通胀担忧与经济势头减弱之间取得了平衡。

The Australian dollar edged lower to around $0.645 on Tuesday, pulling back from recent five-month highs as the US dollar firmed on hopes for US-China trade talks and investor caution ahead of the Federal Reserve’s policy decision. The Aussie also faced downward pressure from weaker-than-expected domestic building permits data and signs of slowing growth in China’s services sector, a key market for Australian exports. Domestically, political stability following Prime Minister Anthony Albanese’s re-election on Saturday offered some reassurance, with the PM pledging a “disciplined, orderly” government focused on easing cost-of-living pressures and managing global trade volatility. On the monetary policy front, markets widely expect the Reserve Bank of Australia to lower its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points to 3.85% at its upcoming May meeting, as policymakers balance inflation concerns with weakening economic momentum.