国际货币基金组织周二表示,由于美国关税的影响,越南今年的经济增长预计将从2024年的7.09%放缓至6.5%。这家多边银行警告称,“下行风险很高”,理由是临时政府刺激措施的解除以及全球贸易紧张局势升级或金融环境收紧的潜在影响。国际货币基金组织指出,这些发展可能会进一步抑制出口和投资。这一前景表明,在全球贸易动态和政策逆风不断变化的情况下,越南出口导向型经济将继续面临压力。第二季度,越南国内生产总值同比强劲增长7.96%,增速高于第一季度的6.93%,为2022年第三季度以来的最快增速,服务业、工业和农业等所有主要行业都实现了更强劲的扩张。
Vietnam’s economic growth is expected to slow to 6.5% this year, down from 7.09% in 2024, due to the impact of U.S. tariffs, the International Monetary Fund said Tuesday. The multilateral lender warned that “downside risks are high,” citing the unwinding of temporary government stimulus and potential fallout from escalating global trade tensions or tighter financial conditions. Such developments, the IMF noted, could further dampen exports and investment. The outlook suggests continued pressure on Vietnam’s export-driven economy amid shifting global trade dynamics and policy headwinds. In Q2, Vietnam’s GDP grew robustly by 7.96% yoy, accelerating from a 6.93% rise in Q1 and marking the fastest pace since Q3 2022, with all major sectors like services, industry, and agriculture all posting stronger expansion.