9月29日,以色列央行连续第14次会议将基准利率维持在4.5%不变,符合市场预期。政策制定者指出,随着持续的加沙冲突和国际情绪的恶化继续对经济活动和投资造成压力,地缘政治的不确定性加剧。8月份,年通货膨胀率降至2.9%,创下一年新低,并恢复到政府1-3%的目标区间。劳动力市场仍然紧张,部分原因是储备动员和非以色列工人短缺。与此同时,在消费者支出、投资和建筑业的支持下,经济活动正在逐渐复苏,尽管一些指标仍低于冲突前的水平。国防开支的增加和谢克尔的走强也会影响经济。展望未来,央行表示,未来的利率决定将在持续的地缘政治风险中平衡通胀、经济增长、金融稳定和财政考虑。
The Bank of Israel kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 4.5% for the 14th consecutive meeting on September 29, in line with market expectations. Policymakers cited elevated geopolitical uncertainty, as the ongoing Gaza conflict and deteriorating international sentiment continue to weigh on economic activity and investment. Annual inflation eased to 2.9% in August, marking a one-year low and returning to the government’s 1-3% target range. The labor market remains tight, partly due to reserve mobilization and shortages of non-Israeli workers. Meanwhile, economic activity is gradually recovering, supported by consumer spending, investment, and construction, although several indicators remain below pre-conflict levels. Elevated defense spending and a stronger shekel also influence the economy. Looking ahead, the central bank indicated that future rate decisions will balance inflation, economic growth, financial stability, and fiscal considerations amid ongoing geopolitical risks.