印度尼西亚1个月期国债 (Indonesia1M) 加自选

继上个月增长9.15%之后，2025年5月，印尼的外国游客人数同比增长14.01%，达到1306万人。大多数国际游客来自中东（35.39%），特别是阿联酋（53.17%）、也门（38.05%）和沙特阿拉伯（35.68%）。此外，来自亚洲（不包括东盟）的旅客占20.75%，其中来自香港（317.66%）、东帝汶（36.85%）和大韩民国（20.45%）的旅客贡献巨大。此外，东盟国家占总入境人数的17.79%，文莱（88.59%）、菲律宾（19.54%）和马来西亚（19.21%）的入境人数显著增加。今年前五个月，入境总人数达到563万，比去年同期增长7.44%。按月度计算，2025年5月国际游客人数增长了12.15%。与此同时，2025年5月国内旅游人次达到9767万人次，比2024年5月增长17.81%。

Foreign tourist arrivals in Indonesia grew by 14.01% year-on-year to 13.06 million in May 2025, following a 9.15% increase in the previous month. Most international arrivals came from the Middle East (35.39%), particularly the UAE (53.17%), Yemen (38.05%), and Saudi Arabia (35.68%). In addition, arrivals from Asia (excluding ASEAN) accounted for 20.75%, with significant contributions from Hong Kong (317.66%), Timor Leste (36.85%), and the Republic of Korea (20.45%). Moreover, ASEAN countries contributed 17.79% of total arrivals, with notable increases from Brunei (88.59%), the Philippines (19.54%), and Malaysia (19.21%). In the first five months of the year, total arrivals reached 5.63 million, 7.44% higher compared to the same period last year. On a monthly basis, international visitor arrivals rose by 12.15% in May 2025. Meanwhile, the number of domestic tourism trips in May 2025 reached 97.67 million, an increase of 17.81% compared to May 2024.

2025年6月，印度尼西亚的年通货膨胀率从5月的1.60%加速至1.87%，略高于市场预测的1.83%的增长率，仍在央行1.5%至3.5%的目标范围内。食品（5月份为1.99%对1.03%）、住房（1.59%对1.54%）、健康（1.84%对1.79%）和服装（1.01%对0.91%）的价格加速上涨。住宿和餐馆（1.95%对1.97%）、家具（0.57%对0.79%）、交通（0.15%对0.18%）和教育（1.82%对1.88%）的价格有所放缓。相比之下，通信价格继续下跌（-0.27%对-0.28%）。核心通胀率（不包括管理和波动的食品价格）从5月份的2.4%降至2.37%的五个月低点，低于普遍预计的2.44%的涨幅。按月计算，CPI上涨0.19%，从5月份的0.37%的跌幅反弹，略高于上月0.15%的涨幅。

Indonesia’s annual inflation accelerated to 1.87% in June 2025, up from 1.60% in May and slightly above market forecasts of a 1.83% increase, remaining within the central bank’s target range of 1.5% to 3.5%. Prices accelerated for food (1.99 % vs 1.03% in May), housing (1.59% vs 1.54%), health (1.84% vs 1.79%), and clothing (1.01% vs 0.91%). Prices moderated for accommodation and restaurants (1.95% vs 1.97%), furnishing (0.57% vs 0.79%), transport (0.15% vs 0.18%), and education (1.82% vs 1.88%). By contrast, communication prices continued to drop (-0.27% vs -0.28%). Core inflation, which excludes administered and volatile food prices, edged down to a five-month low of 2.37%, from 2.4% in May, and came in below the consensus estimate of a 2.44% rise. On a monthly basis, the CPI increased by 0.19%, rebounding from a 0.37% decline in May and slightly above the 0.15% gain recorded in the prior month.

2025年5月，印度尼西亚的贸易顺差从去年同期的29.2亿美元大幅收窄至43.0亿美元，远高于市场预期的24亿美元顺差。出口同比增长9.68%，达到246.1亿美元的31个月高点，远超1%的增长预期，增速高于4月份的5.76%。与此同时，进口同比意外增长4.14%，达到203.1亿美元，超出0.1%的下降预期。尽管仍然是积极的，但这标志着自2月以来最疲软的步伐，此前在全球贸易紧张局势缓解的情况下，4月份飙升了21.84%。

Indonesia's trade surplus narrowed sharply to USD 4.30 billion in May 2025, from USD 2.92 billion in the same month a year earlier, and came in well above market expectations of a USD 2.40 billion surplus. Exports rose by 9.68% year-on-year to a 31-month high of USD 24.61 billion, far exceeding forecasts of a 1% increase and accelerating from a 5.76% gain in April. Meanwhile, imports unexpectedly grew by 4.14% year-on-year to USD 20.31 billion, beating expectations of a 0.1% decline. Although still positive, it marked the softest pace since February, following a 21.84% surge in April, amid easing global trade tensions.

2025年5月，印度尼西亚的进口额同比增长4.14%，达到203.1亿美元，超出了市场对0.1%下降的预期。这一增长标志着连续第四个月的增长，这得益于美国关税90天贸易休战的影响。今年迄今，进口额增长5.45%，达到966.0亿美元。

Indonesia's imports rose 4.14% yoy to USD 20.31 billion in May 2025, defying market expectations for a 0.1% decline. The increase marked a fourth consecutive month of increase, buoyed by the effects of a 90-day trade truce on U.S. tariffs. Year-to-date, imports expanded 5.45% to USD 96.60 billion.