肯尼亚10年期国债 (Kenya10Y) 加自选

肯尼亚经济在2024年第四季度增长5.1%后，在2025年第一季度增长了4.9%。增长基础广泛，主要农业部门表现尤为强劲，得益于有利的天气条件，产量增长了6.0%。2024年末和2025年初的及时降雨导致茶叶、咖啡和玉米的收成更好。除此之外，政府的举措，如农业投入补贴和Hustler基金的负担得起的贷款，进一步提高了整个行业的生产力。其他贡献者包括信息通信技术（5.8%）、批发和零售贸易（5.4%）、房地产（5.3%）、金融和保险（5.1%）以及公共行政（6.5%）。专业服务和交通分别增长4.6%和3.8%，住宿和餐饮服务增长4.1%。矿业飙升10%，建筑业增长3%，制造业增长2.1%。经季节性调整后，第一季度国内生产总值增长了0.8%，为一年来最低，此前2024年第四季度向下修正了1.7%的增长。

Kenya's economy advanced by 4.9% in Q1 2025, after a 5.1% expansion in Q4 2024. Growth was broad-based, with particularly strong performance in the key agricultural sector, where output rose by 6.0% thanks to favorable weather conditions. Timely rains in late 2024 and early 2025 led to better harvests of tea, coffee, and maize. Alongside this, government initiatives—like farm input subsidies and the Hustler Fund's affordable loans—further enhanced productivity across the sector. Other contributors included ICT (5.8%), wholesale and retail trade (5.4%), real estate (5.3%), financial & insurance (5.1%), and public administration (6.5%). Professional services and transport grew by 4.6% and 3.8%, respectively, while accommodation & food services added 4.1%. Mining surged 10%, construction increased 3%, and manufacturing rose 2.1%. On a seasonally adjusted basis, the GDP rose by 0.8% in Q1, the least in a year, following a downwardly revised 1.7% rise in Q4 2024.

斯坦比克银行肯尼亚采购经理人指数从上个月的49.6降至2025年6月的48.6，标志着连续第二个月收缩。最新数据也代表了自2024年7月以来的最大跌幅，这是由于消费者支出疲软、经济形势严峻以及抗议活动导致的运营中断，导致产出和新订单收缩。与此同时，就业人数连续第五个月增加，尽管幅度不大。此外，供应商绩效在近两年内得到了最大程度的改善。在价格方面，由于努力维持客户群，投入价格通胀加速至五个月高点，而产出价格通胀放缓至四个月低点。最后，受销售改善和市场扩张的希望推动，商业情绪增强至2024年5月以来的最高水平。

The Stanbic Bank Kenya PMI fell to 48.6 in June 2025 from 49.6 in the previous month, marking its second consecutive month of contraction. The latest reading also represented the steepest decline since July 2024, driven by contractions in output and new orders amid weaker consumer spending, challenging economic conditions, and operational disruptions from protests. Meanwhile, employment increased for the fifth consecutive month, albeit only marginally. Additionally, vendor performance improved to the greatest extent in nearly two years. On prices, input price inflation accelerated to a five-month high, while output price inflation moderated to a four-month low amid efforts to maintain the customer base. Finally, business sentiment strengthened to its highest level since May 2024, fueled by hopes of improved sales and market expansion.

2025年6月，肯尼亚的年通货膨胀率稳定在3.8%，与5月份的读数相匹配，并保持了4月份4.1%的八个月高点的下降。通货膨胀率仍在央行2.5%至7.5%的目标范围内。食品和非酒精饮料（5月份为6.6%对6.3%）和交通（3.2%对2.3%）的价格增长放缓，而住房和公用事业价格下降（0.2%对0.8%）。按月计算，6月份消费者价格指数在上个月上涨0.5%的基础上又上涨了0.5%。

Kenya's annual inflation remained steady at 3.8% in June 2025, matching May’s reading and holding the drop from an eight-month high of 4.1% in April. The inflation remained well within the central bank's 2.5% to 7.5% target range. Price growth slowed for food and non-alcoholic beverages (6.6% vs 6.3% in May), and transport (3.2% vs. 2.3%), while housing and utilities fell (0.2% vs. 0.8%). On a monthly basis, consumer prices increased by 0.5% in June, following a 0.5% rise in the previous month.

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Kenya 10 Year Government Bond Yield decreased to a 3-year low of 13.32%. Over the past 4 weeks, Kenya 10Y Bond Yield lost 34.10 basis points, and in the last 12 months, it decreased 314.10 basis points.