国际货币基金组织(IMF)周二下调了对印度本财年(2025/26财年)的经济增长预测,理由是贸易紧张局势加剧和全球不确定性。正如《世界经济展望》报告所述,国际货币基金组织将对这个南亚国家的预测从1月份的6.5%下调至6.2%。对于2026-27财年,GDP增长预测也从6.5%降至6.3%。本月早些时候,印度储备银行(RBI)连续第二次下调关键政策利率,软化货币政策立场,使借贷成本降至2022年11月以来的最低水平。这一举措是由通胀缓解、经济产出放缓和全球贸易紧张局势加剧推动的。随着食品价格继续放缓,印度3月份的零售通胀率降至3.34%的五年多来的低点。央行还修订了本财年的GDP增长预期,将其从6.7%降至6.5%。
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) on Tuesday revised down its economic growth forecast for India for the current fiscal year (FY2025/26), citing accelerating trade tensions and global uncertainty. The IMF lowered its forecast for the South Asian country to 6.2%, down from 6.5% in its January estimates, as outlined in the World Economic Outlook report. For FY2026- 27, the GDP growth projection has also been reduced to 6.3% from 6.5%. Earlier this month, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) cut its key policy rate for the second consecutive time and softened its monetary policy stance, bringing borrowing costs to their lowest level since November 2022. This move was driven by easing inflation, slowing economic output, and rising global trade tensions. India’s retail inflation slipped to a more-than-five-year low of 3.34% in March, as food prices continued to moderate. The central bank also revised its GDP growth estimate for the current fiscal year, lowering it to 6.5% from 6.7%.