2025年4月,欧元区经济情绪指数(ESI)降至93.6,低于3月份修订后的95.0,也低于市场预期的94.5。这是自去年12月以来的最低水平,反映出所有行业的信心普遍下降。消费者信心急剧下降(-16.7比3月份的-14.5),服务提供商(1.4比2.2)、零售商(-8.9比-7.0)、制造商(-11.2比-10.7)和建筑公司(-4.3比-3.7)也出现下降。在价格方面,消费者通胀预期飙升5.1点至29.6,为2022年11月以来的最高水平,而制造商的销售价格预期小幅下降0.3点至11.0,低于3月份的两年高点。在欧元区最大的经济体中,荷兰(-2.5)和意大利(-1.8)的情绪明显恶化,而德国(+0.5)和西班牙(+0.4)的情绪略有改善。法国的情绪大致保持稳定。
The economic sentiment indicator (ESI) in the Euro Area fell to 93.6 in April 2025, down from a revised 95.0 in March and below market expectations of 94.5. This marked the lowest reading since December, reflecting a broad-based decline in confidence across all sectors. Consumer sentiment dropped sharply (-16.7 vs. -14.5 in March), alongside declines among service providers (1.4 vs. 2.2), retailers (-8.9 vs. -7.0), manufacturers (-11.2 vs. -10.7), and construction firms (-4.3 vs. -3.7). On the pricing front, consumer inflation expectations surged by 5.1 points to 29.6, their highest level since November 2022, while manufacturers’ selling price expectations edged down by 0.3 points to 11.0, easing from March’s two-year high. Among the Eurozone’s largest economies, sentiment deteriorated notably in the Netherlands (-2.5) and Italy (-1.8), while improving slightly in Germany (+0.5) and Spain (+0.4). Sentiment in France remained broadly stable.