美元/日元–2025年12月15日。美元兑日元保持在156.15阻力位以下，该阻力位迄今已跌至155.35。市场仍有可能在154.90至156.15之间形成交易区。

USD/JPY – 15.12.2025.USDJPY held below the 156.15 resistance which managed to cause a drop towards 155.35 so far. The market is still showing the chance for a trading zone between 154.90 and 156.15.

日本短观：随着企业吸收关税影响，制造业情绪有所改善。日本第四季度短观调查为经济提供了广泛的支持信号，增强了人们对日本央行将继续进行利率正常化的预期。大型制造业指数从14升至15，符合预期，标志着连续第三个季度有所改善，是自2021年12月以来的最强读数。

Japan Tankan: Manufacturing sentiment improves as firms absorb tariff impact.Japan's Q4 Tankan survey delivered a broadly supportive signal for the economy, reinforcing expectations that the BoJ will proceed with rate normalization. The large manufacturing index rose from 14 to 15, in line with expectations, marking a third consecutive quarterly improvement and the strongest reading since December 2021.

investingLive亚太外汇新闻摘要：日元因日本央行数据和预期而走高。日本央行12月短观调查显示，日本企业情绪总体保持稳定，大型制造商情绪保持稳定，服务业状况保持高位。尽管利润预期减弱，劳动力短缺持续存在，但日本央行官员的后续评论强调了贸易不确定性的缓解、成本传递的改善和需求的弹性，特别是与人工智能和半导体相关的需求。

investingLive Asia-Pacific FX news wrap: Yen moves higher on BoJ data & expectations.Japan's corporate sentiment remained broadly stable in the Bank of Japan's December Tankan survey, with large manufacturers' sentiment holding steady and services-sector conditions remaining elevated. While profit expectations softened and labour shortages persisted, follow-up comments from a BOJ official highlighted easing trade uncertainty, improved cost pass-through and resilient demand, particularly linked to AI and semiconductors.

日本第三产业指数10月上涨0.9%m/m（高于预期的+0.2%和之前的+0.3%）。日本第三产业指数衡量日本服务业产出的月度变化，服务业约占日本经济的70%。

Japan Tertiary Industry Index October +0.9% m/m (beats expected of +0.2% & prior +0.3%).The Japan Tertiary Industry Index measures monthly changes in output across Japan's service sector, which accounts for roughly 70% of the economy.