德国10年期国债收益率跌至2.65%以下,为7月9日以来的最低水平,因为投资者的注意力转向了欧洲央行即将出台的政策决定和欧洲最大经济体公布的短期PMI,这两项都将于周四公布。市场参与者也对正在进行的欧盟-美国关税谈判保持警惕。人们普遍预计,欧洲央行在连续八次降息后将保持利率不变,因为政策制定者在持续的关税不确定性、欧元的弹性和通胀的抑制下采取了观望态度。与此同时,法国、德国和欧元区的快速综合PMI预计将在7月份小幅上升,为该地区的经济势头提供了新的见解。另外,欧盟特使准备最早于本周举行会议,讨论在与美国总统唐纳德·特朗普发生无协议脱欧的情况下可能采取的应急措施,特朗普在8月1日最后期限之前采取了更强硬的关税立场。
Germany’s 10-year Bund yield dipped below 2.65%, its lowest level since July 9, as investor attention turned to the European Central Bank’s upcoming policy decision and the release of flash PMIs from Europe’s largest economies, both due Thursday. Market participants also remain alert to ongoing EU-US tariff negotiations. The ECB is widely expected to keep rates unchanged after eight consecutive cuts, as policymakers adopt a wait-and-see approach amid lingering tariff uncertainty, a resilient euro, and subdued inflation. Meanwhile, flash composite PMIs for France, Germany, and the eurozone are projected to inch higher in July, offering fresh insight into the region’s economic momentum. Separately, EU envoys are preparing to meet as early as this week to discuss potential contingency measures in the event of a no-deal scenario with US President Donald Trump, whose tougher tariff stance has sharpened ahead of the August 1 deadline.